Fluminense vs Flamengo Prediction and Betting Tips for the Brazilian Serie A, scheduled for Wednesday, November 20, 2025, at 00:30GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Claro TV+ (Bra) and Globoplay (Bra) from the legendary Maracanã Stadium in Rio de Janeiro. Both clubs arrive with contrasting goals: Flamengo fighting to stay top, Fluminense pushing for Copa Libertadores qualification. In this piece, we’ll dive deep into the numbers with help from Soccer Stats and explore what really defines this fiery Fla-Flu derby.

• Flamengo sit top of the table but can’t afford a slip-up against their city rivals.
• Fluminense are unbeaten at home in six straight Serie A matches.
• Expect a tense, physical derby, both sides average over 27 fouls per game.
• Flamengo’s De Arrascaeta leads the league with 17 goals and 13 assists.

Fluminense’s story this season is one of quiet resilience. Luis Zubeldia’s men may no longer be in the title hunt, but that doesn’t dull their hunger. They’ve averaged 1.31 goals per match and conceded just 0.63, a solid defensive base that’s kept them within striking distance of continental competition. Still, scoring has been an issue lately. With just one win in their last three, and goals drying up since early October, the Tricolor need a spark. Without their top scorer Germán Cano, sidelined by a knee problem, the weight falls on Kevin Serna and Samuel Xavier to find the net. Can they rise to the moment under the Maracanã lights?

There’s also the psychological battle. History hasn’t been kind to Flu in recent meetings, one win in the last ten against Flamengo. And that’s got to sting. Yet, there’s pride in every challenge and this home crowd won’t let their team roll over easily. Expect intensity, pressing, and a lot of tactical fouls to break up Flamengo’s rhythm. It’s a derby, after all: stats aside, emotion takes center stage.

Flamengo, meanwhile, enter the night brimming with confidence. Filipe Luis’s side have scored 1.69 goals per match, conceding only 0.81 — the mark of champions. They’ve hit two or more goals in their last four games, including a ruthless 5-1 demolition of Sport. Sure, some opponents were weaker, but it’s hard to argue with results. De Arrascaeta’s return from suspension only adds more firepower. With 17 goals and 13 assists, he’s been both creator and finisher, a nightmare for defenders. Still, with Pedro and Jorginho injured, Mengão might need to shuffle the attack again. That’s a bold move — but maybe the right one.

When you dig into the numbers, the pattern’s clear: both teams love a scrap. Fluminense average 28.13 fouls per match, Flamengo 27.31. That’s 55 combined. So, yeah, expect whistles, tackles, and maybe a few heated confrontations. The fine margins could define this one and whoever handles the chaos better will likely emerge on top. It’s hard to say how this will end, but one thing’s sure: in Rio, nothing burns hotter than a Fla-Flu night powered by passion, pride, and pure football drama built on Soccer Stats that speak for themselves.