Serie A Predictions Football Predictions

Fiorentina vs AS Roma Prediction Serie A 05.10.2025

Share
Fiorentina vs AS Roma Prediction Serie A 05.10.2025

Fiorentina vs AS Roma Prediction Serie A

Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction and Betting Tips for this Sunday’s Serie A fixture at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Fiorentina, winless in the league so far, face a confident Roma side who are chasing top spot. In this piece, you’ll find expert Serie A Predictions from XpertStats analysts, breaking down key stats, recent form, and tactical angles ahead of the clash.

  • Fiorentina still searching for first Serie A win this season.
  • Roma unbeaten in four league games and strong defensively.
  • Recent head-to-heads at Stadio Franchi favour Fiorentina.
  • Key absences could shape both teams’ line-ups.


Fiorentina’s start under Stefano Pioli has been rocky, with just three points from five matches. Last week’s goalless Tuscan derby against Pisa showed they can frustrate opponents, but creativity remains an issue. That said, home turf has been their occasional advantage, beating Roma three times in the last four meetings at Stadio Franchi. Moise Kean should return up front, and with Piccoli and Gudmundsson supporting, Fiorentina will hope to convert chances they’ve struggled to find so far.

Roma arrive buoyed by strong performances. Gian Piero Gasperini’s men have won four of five Serie A matches and conceded only once in the league this season. Last weekend’s 2-0 victory over Hellas Verona, led by goals from Artem Dovbyk and Matías Soulé, has set a confident tone. Even so, recent Europa League heartbreak, where they missed three penalties against Lille, adds an intriguing psychological layer. Can they refocus for the trip to Florence?

The clash isn’t just about form, it’s about styles. Fiorentina will look to grind it out and use set-pieces, while Roma’s disciplined defence and rapid transitions make them a serious threat. Expect a tactical chess match. Gasperini’s likely lineup, bolstered by the return of Mancini and Angelino, could mean Roma dominate possession but Fiorentina will aim to make the game uncomfortable, leaning on their home advantage and head-to-head edge.

This fixture promises drama. Fiorentina need a lift to end their winless streak, Roma want to consolidate their title chase. That balance makes for an intriguing betting angle. For those following the latest Serie A Predictions, this game might deliver plenty more than just three points, it could be a tactical thriller filled with fouls, set-pieces, and fine margins.

Fiorentina faces a crucial test in Serie A as they host Roma at the Stadio Artemio Franchi on Sunday, October 5. Winless in the league so far, Fiorentina will rely on Stefano Pioli’s adjustments after a 2-0 Conference League win over Sigma Olomouc. Roma, meanwhile, aim to bounce back from a Europa League setback and maintain their strong domestic form. More details at gazzetta.it.

Prediction
Over 26.5 Fouls @1.82
Both Fiorentina and Roma are physical sides who tend to keep matches scrappy. Fiorentina, desperate to end their winless streak, are likely to fight hard at home. Pioli’s team has averaged 27 fouls per game this season, reflecting their aggressive pressing style. Roma, on the other hand, have been involved in several tightly contested fixtures, committing an average of 28 fouls in recent away matches. Add in the history of heated clashes between these club, nine fouls per game in head-to-head clashes and it’s clear tensions could run high. Expect a physical battle in the midfield with plenty of fouls and stoppages as both sides fight for control. Given Fiorentina’s home history and Roma’s competitive style, this fixture looks set to pass the 26.5 fouls mark.

More Predictions:

Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

Tags:

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Get quick access to:

Corners chart
Cards & Fouls Stats
Goals & Shots Analysis
Win / Draw Probabilities
Daily Accumulators