Crystal Palace vs Brighton Prediction Premier League 09.11.2025
Crystal Palace vs Brighton Prediction Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Brighton Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 11 of the Premier League, scheduled for Sunday, November 9, 2025, at 14:00 GMT. The clash unfolds at Selhurst Park, broadcast live on Sky Go. Both sides sit neck-and-neck in mid-table, separated by just one point. It’s more than a local derby, it’s a test of resilience and momentum. In this breakdown, we’ll look at form, stats, and insights powered by Premier League Stats to see where the smart money might lie.
- Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last five home games across competitions.
- Brighton have failed to win away from home since their September victory at Chelsea.
- Palace won both league meetings against Brighton last season.
- Over 1.5 goals were scored in 80% of Palace’s matches and 100% of Brighton’s.
Crystal Palace come into this one riding a wave of confidence after a run of three consecutive wins in all competitions. Under Oliver Glasner, the Eagles have found a balance between discipline and daring, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game while conceding just one. At Selhurst Park, they’ve been stubborn, unbeaten so far this season. Ismaila Sarr’s return to form, capped by a brace against AZ Alkmaar, could prove decisive again. Still, Palace aren’t invincible; their defense has shown cracks, with both teams scoring in 60% of their fixtures. Can Glasner’s side extend their streak or will Brighton’s high press rattle them?
Brighton, meanwhile, have been thrilling yet unpredictable. They average 3.4 total goals per game, the most of any side outside the top six – but their defense remains a weak link, conceding twice per match on average. Manager Fabian Hürzeler’s side are electric going forward, with Danny Welbeck and Diego Gomez providing goals, but they’ve struggled away from home. Only one win in their last three road trips tells the story. Their last visit to South London ended in a 2-1 defeat, and given their tendency to leak goals, the Seagulls will need to tighten up fast.
Historically, this fixture rarely disappoints. Both teams have scored in every Premier League meeting at Selhurst Park : eight games, eight BTTS winners. Palace’s narrow 2-1 win in April 2025 and 3-1 success away last December show they’ve had Brighton’s number lately. The stats don’t lie: Brighton have conceded in every match since May, while Palace have kept just one clean sheet since August. Goals seem inevitable, but the question is: who edges it when it matters most?
It’s a tough one to call, but Palace’s momentum, home advantage, and superior defensive stability tilt the scales in their favor. Expect another lively M23 derby with plenty of energy, a few cards, and maybe some late drama. Based on form, style, and Premier League Stats, the best betting angles look like 1X and Over 1.5 Goals, both supported by consistent trends from both camps.
Crystal Palace manager Oliver Glasner expressed confidence ahead of Sunday’s Premier League clash with Brighton, confirming most players from their midweek UEFA Conference League game are fit to play. He praised his squad’s ambition and professionalism as they compete across four tournaments this season, while noting minor doubts over Adam Wharton’s fitness. Glasner emphasized the team’s commitment to fans and maintaining strong momentum. Source: BBC Sport
Crystal Palace’s unbeaten home form this season, combined with Brighton’s away struggles, makes the double chance (1X) a logical pick. The Eagles have averaged 1.6 goals scored and just one conceded per match, showing solid balance. Brighton, on the other hand, have conceded two goals per game and haven’t won away since September. They’ve lost two of their last three road fixtures and only picked up four points on the road all season. Palace have also dominated recent meetings, winning both clashes last season and unbeaten at Selhurst Park since February. Even if Brighton find the net, which they often do, Glasner’s organized setup and home support usually ensure at least a point. Add to that Palace’s consistent home scoring record and the fact that Brighton’s defense often leaks under pressure, and backing the Eagles not to lose feels like the smart, safe play for this heated derby.
This fixture almost guarantees goals. Crystal Palace average 2.6 total goals per match, while Brighton’s figure is even higher at 3.4. Both sides love to attack but often leave spaces behind, especially Brighton, who concede twice per game. In fact, Over 1.5 Goals has landed in 80% of Palace’s matches and 100% of Brighton’s, that’s as clear a trend as you’ll find. The last eight Premier League meetings at Selhurst Park have all seen both teams score, further underlining the open nature of this derby. With Sarr, Mateta, and Welbeck all in form, and both defenses struggling to keep clean sheets, it’s hard to imagine a low-scoring affair. Palace have only one clean sheet since August, and Brighton haven’t kept one since May. Expect an energetic contest, full of chances and tempo, where Over 1.5 Goals feels not just probable, but almost inevitable.
FAQ – Crystal Palace vs Brighton Prediction
Who will win between Crystal Palace and Brighton?
Crystal Palace hold the edge at home, backed by form and confidence, but Brighton’s attacking flair means a draw wouldn’t be a shock either.
Where can I watch the Crystal Palace vs Brighton live?
The Crystal Palace vs Brighton Premier League match will be broadcast live on Sky Go.
What time does Crystal Palace vs Brighton start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 13:15 (GMT) on Sunday, November 9, 2025.
Which players could make the difference?
Ismaila Sarr for Palace and Danny Welbeck for Brighton look key. Both have scored six league goals this season and can swing the balance either way.
How many goals are expected in the match?
With Palace averaging 2.6 total goals per game and Brighton 3.4, another high-scoring encounter seems very likely.
Author
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Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
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