Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction Premier League 30.12.2025
Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction Premier League
Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction and Betting Tips for the Premier League, scheduled for December 30, 2025, at 19:45 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports and NOW TV. The clash takes place at Turf Moor, with both sides desperate to finish a turbulent year on a high note. Currently, Burnley sits in 19th place with only 12 points, while the visitors are mid-table with 23 points. In this article, you’ll discover Premier League Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- Burnley is currently enduring a difficult run, failing to win a match since late October.
- The Clarets have struggled offensively, managing the third worst scoring record in the top flight.
- Defensive stability has improved recently, with Scott Parker’s side securing their first clean sheet in ten.
- Newcastle United arrives at Turf Moor having won only one of their previous five league fixtures.
- The Magpies’ away form is a major concern, with just one road victory all season long.
- Massive injury problems plague both squads, particularly in the defensive lines for this Tuesday encounter.
Scott Parker’s men are in a real scrap for survival, and while the results haven’t quite arrived, there is a tiny glimmer of hope. Still, it is hard to ignore the fact that they haven’t tasted victory in ages. Their recent goalless draw with Everton showed some grit, but the lack of quality in the final third is glaring. Can they really turn things around without a reliable goalscorer? They managed 16 shots against the Toffees but somehow failed to put a single one on target. That’s a worrying trend that Parker must fix if they want to avoid the drop. Even so, the fans at Turf Moor will be vocal, hoping for a late Christmas miracle under the floodlights.
The injury list at Burnley is starting to look like a medical journal. With Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts, and Axel Tuanzebe definitely out, the backline is held together by hope and tactical discipline. Josh Laurent and Hjalmar Ekdal have been forced into heavy lifting, and the loss of Josh Cullen in midfield only adds to the headache. It’s hard to say how this will end for the Clarets, but their defensive statistics at home show they concede about 1.11 goals per match. They aren’t exactly a sieve, but when you only score 0.78 goals at home, every mistake feels like a catastrophe. That said, the spirit in the camp seems to be holding for now.
Newcastle United, on the other hand, is a bit of a mystery this season. One week they look like world beaters, and the next, they are dropping points to teams they should comfortably handle. Eddie Howe is dealing with a defensive crisis of his own, missing almost his entire first choice back four including Sven Botman and Kieran Trippier. This has forced young Lewis Miley into an unfamiliar right-back role. Will his inexperience be exploited? Maybe, but Burnley’s attack hasn’t exactly been prolific. The Magpies did beat the Clarets 2-1 earlier this month, but their away record of just one win is a massive red flag for any bettor. It’s a bold move to trust them on the road right now, but maybe the right one given the quality gap.
Offensively, Newcastle averages about 0.78 goals scored when playing away from St James’ Park, which is surprisingly low for a team with Anthony Gordon in the lineup. Their games tend to be tight affairs, with 44% of their away trips seeing both teams score. With Nick Woltemade likely leading the line due to other absences, the attacking rhythm might be a bit off. Still, they have dominated this specific fixture in the past, winning seven consecutive Premier League meetings against Burnley. Whether that historical dominance carries over into a match where both squads are missing key personnel remains the big question for Tuesday night.
Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe faces a defensive selection headache ahead of the Magpies' trip to Turf Moor. With Sven Botman likely sidelined and the backline stretched by injuries, Howe is monitoring his squad's recovery closely. A late decision is also expected regarding the goalkeeper position, as Aaron Ramsdale and the returning Nick Pope compete for the starting spot against a resilient Burnley side.
| GK | M. Dubravka |
| DF | J. Laurent, H. Ekdal, B. Humphreys |
| MF | L. Pires, L. Ugochukwu, F. Luis, K. Walker |
| FW | J. Bruun Larsen, J. Anthony, Z. Flemming |
| OUT |
J. Cullen(QUES),
M. Esteve(QUES),
J. Worrall(QUES),
Z. Amdouni(OUT),
J. Beyer(OUT),
L. Foster(OUT),
Hannibal(OUT),
C. Roberts(OUT),
A. Tuanzebe(OUT),
|
| GK | N. Pope |
| DF | L. Hall, M. Thiaw, F. Schar, L. Miley |
| MF | S. Tonali, Joelinton, B. Guimaraes |
| FW | A. Gordon, H. Barnes, Y. Wissa |
| OUT |
N. Pope(QUES),
S. Botman(OUT),
D. Burn(OUT),
A. Elanga(OUT),
E. Krafth(OUT),
V. Livramento(OUT),
W. Osula(OUT),
K. Trippier(OUT),
|
The reasoning for an Under 8.5 Shots on Target bet lies heavily in the recent statistical output of both clubs. Burnley’s offensive struggles have reached a critical point; in their last outing against Everton, they failed to register a single shot on target despite having 16 attempts. Season stats show they average only 2.67 shots on target per home match. Newcastle isn't much more explosive on the road, averaging just 3.0 shots on target per away game. Combined, these teams are averaging 5.67 shots on target, which is well below the 8.5 threshold. With both teams missing creative outlets and key defenders, the game is likely to be played in a congested midfield. Scott Parker has prioritized a "safety first" approach to stop the losing streak, which naturally reduces the game's verticality and chances created. Expect a cagey, tactical battle with very few clear openings for the goalkeepers to deal with.
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FAQ – Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Burnley and Newcastle?
Newcastle United are the technical favorites due to their squad depth, but their poor away record and Burnley's recent draws make this a very tight game to call.
Where can I watch the Burnley vs Newcastle live?
The Burnley vs Newcastle Premier League match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports and NOW TV.
What time does Burnley vs Newcastle start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 (GMT) on Tuesday, December 30, 2025.
Who is the referee for this match?
The match will be officiated by Robert Jones at Turf Moor.
Author
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Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
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