Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction and Betting Tips for the Premier League clash scheduled for Saturday, November 22, 2025, at 12:30 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Discovery+ and TNT Sports from Turf Moor in Burnley. The referee is Bankes P. Both teams return from the international break with contrasting fortunes: Chelsea chasing the leaders, Burnley desperate for breathing space. In this article, you’ll find expert insights and Premier League Predictions from XpertStats analysts.

• Chelsea eye a third straight Premier League win after back-to-back clean sheets.
• Burnley struggle defensively, conceding five goals in their last two matches.
• The Clarets have lost six straight home games against Chelsea.
• Kick-off is at 12:30 GMT on Saturday, November 22, 2025, at Turf Moor.

Burnley’s season continues to wobble. Two straight defeats before the break exposed their defensive fragility, with five goals conceded in that span. Scott Parker’s men have managed only two clean sheets in 31 league matches, and at Turf Moor, it’s been particularly rough, six consecutive home losses to Chelsea tell their own story. Burnley average just 1 goal scored per match and 0.8 conceded overall, yet those numbers don’t capture their lapses under pressure. Can Parker fix it in time? Hard to say, but the margin for error is shrinking fast.

In attack, Burnley are unpredictable. Zian Flemming’s form: three goals in four starts, offers hope, while Bruun Larsen and Ugochukwu bring flashes of creativity. Still, their average of only 2.2 corners won per match and low possession rates make sustained pressure difficult. Burnley might look to counter and rely on set pieces, where O’Shea’s aerial strength could be key. Even so, their inability to hold leads, especially late in games, remains their Achilles’ heel. Turf Moor could turn restless if another early goal goes against them.

Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea, by contrast, look confident and composed. They swept Wolves aside 3–0 before the break, with Joao Pedro, Malo Gusto, and Pedro Neto all on the scoresheet. The Blues now boast back-to-back league wins and four victories from their last five. Their average of 2.4 goals scored per match and 80% over 2.5 goals record underline their attacking intent. That said, Chelsea haven’t had it all easy on the injury front , Enzo Fernández, Cole Palmer, and Benoît Badiashile remain doubts, but their depth is finally showing.

On the road, Chelsea have been clinical: six straight away wins, two without conceding. Their balanced style, tight at the back, fluid going forward, makes them tough to break down. Garnacho’s energy, Sterling’s pace, and Caicedo’s control give Maresca flexibility to adapt mid-game. The Blues also average 4.6 corners won per match and dominate territory, something Burnley could struggle to handle. With a record of 11 unbeaten against the Clarets, Chelsea’s confidence will be sky-high heading into this one. Another win looks likely, though Turf Moor can still throw surprises.

For bettors, the value seems clear. Burnley’s home issues and Chelsea’s superior form point to an away victory, though goals could come at both ends given the stats. Either way, this game feels like one of those gritty early kick-offs where momentum could swing fast. Expect Chelsea to control, Burnley to fight, and a result that speaks volumes about both teams’ seasons ahead. For more insights and data-backed picks, check out our latest Premier League Predictions.