Bulgaria vs Turkey Prediction World Cup Qualifiers 11.10.2025


Bulgaria vs Turkey Prediction World Cup Qualifiers
Bulgaria vs Turkey Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s crucial 2026 World Cup qualifier in Sofia. Both nations are desperate for a turnaround after early stumbles in Group E. Turkey, humiliated by Spain last month, need to steady the ship quickly, while Bulgaria are chasing their first goal and first points of the campaign. For a deeper look at this clash and others on the road to 2026, check out World Cup Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- Turkey look to rebound after their shocking 6-0 defeat to Spain.
- Bulgaria are still searching for their first points in Group E.
- Arda Guler and Kerem Akturkoglu expected to start in a must-win game.
- Vasil Levski Stadium set for a heated Saturday night showdown.
Bulgaria’s qualifying journey so far has been brutal. Two matches, two heavy defeats, and six goals conceded without reply. The optimism that followed Aleksandar Dimitrov’s appointment has faded fast. Still, the team’s youthful energy with Vladimir Nikolov up front and Petar Petkov showing flashes of promise gives a glimmer of hope. Can they finally break their scoring drought on home soil? Maybe, but against a Turkish side stung by embarrassment, that’s a tall order.
Historically, Bulgaria have held their own against Turkey, winning seven of their 23 meetings. But it’s been nearly two decades since their last victory. The Vasil Levski crowd will be crucial; they’ll need to turn frustration into fire. “We have to show character,” Dimitrov said this week, sounding more defiant than desperate. It’s hard to say if belief alone can turn things around, but Bulgaria’s pride will be on the line Saturday night.
Turkey, on the other hand, are licking their wounds after a 6-0 thrashing by Spain, a result that shocked even their harshest critics. Vincenzo Montella’s men know they’re better than that. Before that collapse, they’d edged Georgia 3-2, showing real attacking flair through Arda Guler and Kerem Akturkoglu. Now, it’s about rediscovering balance. Expect Montella to stick with his core lineup, giving his stars a chance to redeem themselves. That’s a bold move, but maybe the right one.
With Hakan Calhanoglu orchestrating from midfield and Merih Demiral anchoring the backline, Turkey still boast enough quality to grab all three points. The question is whether they can keep their composure under pressure. Bulgaria’s defense has been porous, and if Guler finds space, he could punish them early. Momentum, pride, and qualification hopes all ride on this one. Expect an intense, emotionally charged encounter that could redefine their campaigns. The outcome? It might just come down to who wants it more. That’s football. That’s why we love it. World Cup Predictions don’t get much tighter than this.

Turkey enter this fixture wounded but dangerous. That 6-0 loss to Spain was a wake-up call, not a sign of collapse. Before that, they’d beaten Georgia 3-2 and looked sharp going forward with Arda Guler and Kerem Akturkoglu combining beautifully. Bulgaria, meanwhile, have lost three straight competitive matches by at least three goals. Their defense has leaked six goals in two qualifiers and hasn’t managed a clean sheet in their last seven outings. Statistically, Turkey are the stronger side, they’ve won four of their last six games and the previous two head-to-heads without conceding. Vincenzo Montella’s squad depth and attacking firepower should be enough to handle a Bulgarian team low on confidence. It’s hard to see the hosts holding out for 90 minutes given their defensive frailties. Turkey’s motivation to bounce back, plus their superior quality in midfield and attack, makes them a solid pick to win in Sofia.
Arda Guler continues to mature into a decisive attacking presence for Turkey. Against Georgia, he registered multiple shots and grabbed a goal. Even in the loss to Spain, he remained one of the few bright sparks, attempting two efforts from range. Bulgaria’s defense has been porous, allowing an average of 6.5 shots on target per game in qualifying so far. Guler’s role in Montella’s setup places him right behind the striker, often drifting into shooting positions around the box. Given Turkey’s need for early momentum, expect him to test the keeper at least once. He’s also the designated set-piece taker, which increases his chances of hitting the target from free kicks. Confidence-wise, he’s high after a strong club run. With Bulgaria’s shaky backline, Guler should get space to unleash that left foot. Over 0.5 shots on target feels not just realistic but probable.