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Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction Premier League 03.12.2025

Alexandru Florin 2 December 2025

Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction Premier League

Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction and Betting Tips for the Premier League fixture on Wednesday, December 03, 2025, at 19:30 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Sky Go and NBC from the Amex Stadium. Fifth meets fourth in this exciting midweek showdown, and both teams are flying. In this article, you’ll discover insights backed by Premier League Stats from XpertStats experts.

Brighton are unbeaten in six Premier League home matches this season.
Aston Villa have won five straight games in all competitions.
Both sides average 9.67 corners per match this season.
Brighton have scored in every league game so far.

Brighton come into this game on a high after their confident 2-0 away win over Nottingham Forest. It wasn’t just the scoreline: it was the way they dominated. Fabian Hurzeler’s side created four big chances, fired six shots on target, and looked completely in control. The Seagulls average two goals per game and concede just one, with an incredible 100% rate of matches going over 1.5 goals. That attacking consistency has turned the Amex into a fortress, where they remain unbeaten in six Premier League home fixtures. Can they keep it that way when Villa visit?

The numbers paint a clear picture. Brighton games almost guarantee action: 83% have gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams have scored in 83% of their matches. But what’s really telling is their attacking depth. Even when key players like Mitoma and March are sidelined, replacements like Tzimas have stepped up with confidence. Still, against a tactically sharp side like Aston Villa, those little defensive gaps could prove costly. That’s the fine line between confidence and complacency.

As for Villa, they’ve shaken off their early-season jitters. Unai Emery’s side now look every bit the Champions League contenders they aspire to be. With five straight wins in all competitions and seven victories in their last eight league games, momentum is on their side. Defensively, they’ve tightened up too, conceding only 11 goals this season, bettered only by Arsenal. Yet their away form remains patchy, splitting results evenly across six road trips. Still, when Ollie Watkins is in form, anything can happen. He’s the kind of player who only needs one half-chance to flip a game.

Statistically, this match screams intensity. Both clubs average nearly ten corners per game, and with Brighton’s quick passing style and Villa’s fast transitions, an open game seems inevitable. That’s why a wager on over 8.5 corners looks smart. It’s hard to say how this will end, but one thing’s clear: this is the kind of match that defines who truly belongs in the top four. And yes, Premier League Stats back up the feeling, it’s going to be fast, fierce, and full of action.

Aston Villa’s surge up the Premier League table is being powered by an exceptional run of long-range goals, with Unai Emery’s side outperforming their expected goals metrics in remarkable fashion. Their ability to convert low-xG attempts from distance has turned a difficult start into a compelling campaign, highlighting a squad filled with technically gifted shooters. Source: The Analyst.

Over 8.5 Corners @1.50
If there’s one thing these sides have in common, it’s their intensity down the flanks. Brighton generate 9.67 corners per match, and Villa mirror that figure exactly. That’s no coincidence—it’s the product of offensive, high-press football. Brighton’s buildup often involves wide overloads, with Gomez and Minteh cutting inside and full-backs overlapping. Villa, under Emery, use a similar setup, relying on Digne’s crosses and McGinn’s deliveries. The result? Constant corner pressure. Both teams have surpassed the 8.5-corner mark in two-thirds of their matches. Considering the stakes: fourth versus fifth and the pace at which both attack, we can expect end-to-end sequences. Corners typically pile up when teams exchange possession quickly and fire from the wings. This match ticks every box for that scenario, making Over 8.5 Corners not just logical but almost inevitable.