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Brest vs Metz Prediction Ligue 1 23.11.2025

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Brest vs Metz Prediction Ligue 1 23.11.2025

Brest vs Metz Prediction Ligue 1

Brest vs Metz Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 13 of the French Ligue 1, scheduled for Sunday, November 23, 2025, at 16:15 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Ligue 1+ (Fra) and Molotov TV (Fra) from the Stade Francis-Le Blé in Brest. Both sides are battling near the relegation zone, separated by just one point. In this article, you’ll discover Ligue 1 Predictions and expert analysis from XpertStats tipsters.

  • Brest aim to snap a four-game scoring drought in Ligue 1.
  • Metz chasing their fourth consecutive league win of the season.
  • Both teams average over 2.8 goals per match combined.
  • Key absences could open up more attacking space on both sides.

Things have gone south fast for Brest. After flirting with Europe last year, Eric Roy’s side now hovers dangerously close to the drop zone. Ten points from twelve games isn’t catastrophic, but the trend is worrying. They haven’t scored in four straight league outings and managed to find the net in only one of their last six. That’s brutal. The home crowd at Stade Francis-Le Blé hasn’t seen a win in three matches either. Still, Brest have history on their side, they beat Metz 4-3 here last April in what was a chaotic, thrilling encounter.

Statistically, Brest’s numbers aren’t flattering but they suggest potential for goals. They average 1.33 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, with 67% of their matches going over 2.5 goals. When they play, there’s often a mix of chaos and missed chances. Can they rediscover their spark this weekend? Hard to say, but there’s pressure building and pressure often brings drama.

On the other hand, Metz have flipped their narrative. Just weeks ago, they were leaking goals for fun, 13 in three games, but somehow, coach Stéphane Le Mignan found the fix. Three games, one goal conceded, and suddenly the team looks alive. Their attack, led by captain Gauthier Hein and Habib Diallo, has found rhythm again. Hein’s penalty against Nice marked his fourth goal of the season, while Diallo’s late winner sealed their 2-1 victory. With confidence restored and a chance to equal their longest Ligue 1 winning streak since 1998, Metz have everything to fight for.

The stats back up the eye test, Metz matches average 4.67 goals, with 83% finishing over 2.5. They may defend better now, but their open style and high-energy transitions make them unpredictable. And that’s why this clash could light up Sunday. With both teams desperate for points and prone to defensive lapses, expect an entertaining, goal-heavy encounter between two sides who can’t afford to sit back. For fans of attacking football, this is one to watch and a good case for backing the Ligue 1 Predictions experts at XpertStats.

FC Metz will travel to Brest without striker Habib Diallo, sidelined by a hamstring injury, but the team welcomes back Fodé Ballo-Touré for this key Ligue 1 match. Coach Stéphane Le Mignan highlighted Metz’s improving form and the challenge posed by Brest despite their recent struggles. The Grenats aim to maintain intensity as they push to climb the table. Source: L’Équipe

Prediction
Over 2.5 Goals @1.82
Brest and Metz both have striking goal statistics this season. Brest’s matches average 2.83 goals per game, with 67% surpassing the 2.5 mark. Meanwhile, Metz’s games have been even wilder, averaging 4.67 goals and hitting over 2.5 in 83% of them. That’s not a coincidence, Metz concede an average of 3.5 goals per match while still managing to score 1.17. Brest, though struggling to score recently, create chances and tend to open up defensively at home. Their 4-3 win over Metz last April proved how chaotic this fixture can get. Add Metz’s improved form and confidence, and you’ve got two sides who’ll go for it rather than sit back. Over 2.5 Goals looks like solid value, given the combination of defensive fragility and attacking intent from both teams.

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FAQ – Brest vs Metz Prediction

Who will win between Brest and Metz?

Brest are favourites at home, but Metz’s current form and attacking resurgence make this match tough to call.

Where can I watch the Brest vs Metz live?

The Brest vs Metz Ligue 1 match will be broadcast live on Ligue 1+ (Fra) and Molotov TV (Fra).

What time does Brest vs Metz start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 16:15 (GMT) on Sunday, November 23, 2025.

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