Brentford vs Burnley Prediction and Betting Tips for the Premier League clash on Saturday, November 29, 2025, at 15:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on NBC and Peacock from the Gtech Community Stadium in London. Brentford sit in 13th place with 16 points, while Burnley are 19th and desperate to halt a three-game losing run. In this article, you’ll find expert insights and Premier League Predictions from XpertStats analysts.

• Brentford have lost only once at home this season, scoring 12 goals in six matches.
• Burnley have conceded two or more goals in each of their last six away games.
• Both sides come off defeats but with contrasting home and away trends.
• Igor Thiago has scored 9 Premier League goals and remains Brentford’s main threat.

Brentford’s defeat at Brighton last weekend was tough to swallow. Igor Thiago’s ninth goal of the season gave them the lead, but two late strikes turned the game around. The Bees’ form, though, looks better at home. With 12 goals scored across six matches and four wins already, the Gtech has become a tricky place for visitors. Only Arsenal and Manchester City have managed more home victories this season, and Brentford have scored in ten of their twelve league outings. Still, they’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in five straight home matches, something coach Keith Andrews surely wants to fix.

Andrews’ side tends to grow stronger as matches wear on. Nearly 40% of Brentford’s goals come after the 75th minute, showing their stamina and belief in late drama. It’s hard not to admire that resilience. That said, their inability to defend leads has cost them points, and without key midfielder Fabio Carvalho, out for the season with an ACL injury, creativity could take a hit. Even so, Brentford’s direct attacking style and Thiago’s sharp finishing make them favourites heading into this one.

Burnley, meanwhile, look stuck in a downward spiral. Scott Parker’s men have lost three consecutive matches and eight of twelve overall. Away from home, they’ve been punished far too often: five defeats in six trips, conceding 18 goals in that span. That’s three per game, the worst away defensive record in the league. Yet, oddly enough, Burnley do find the net on the road, scoring in 83% of their away fixtures. So, they’re dangerous, but leaky, a combination that rarely ends well in this division.

Saturday could define Burnley’s short-term future. A win pulls them within touching distance of safety; another loss could deepen the gap. For Brentford, this is a golden chance to climb toward mid-table comfort and extend their strong home run. It’s hard to see them letting that slip. If they play with the same energy they’ve shown all season, this should be another confident win for the Bees. Check out our full lineup of bold, data-driven Premier League Predictions only on XpertStats.