Benfica vs Napoli Prediction Champions League 10.12.2025
Benfica vs Napoli Prediction Champions League
Benfica vs Napoli Prediction and Betting Tips for the UEFA Champions League group stage, scheduled for Wednesday, December 10, 2025, at 20:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 6 and Discovery+ from the Estádio da Luz in Lisbon. Mourinho’s Benfica are still fighting to stay alive in Europe, while Conte’s Napoli travel to Portugal looking to tighten their grip on the qualification spot. For more insights, explore Champions League Stats and betting data on XpertStats.
- Benfica desperately need a win to keep their knockout hopes alive.
- Napoli come into this clash unbeaten in their last five matches.
- Jose Mourinho and Antonio Conte renew an old rivalry on the European stage.
- Both teams are struggling with key injuries ahead of Wednesday’s showdown.
Benfica’s Champions League journey has been anything but smooth. After four straight losses, Mourinho’s men finally got a breather with a vital win over Ajax. That result kept their hopes flickering, but they remain outside the qualification zone. Mourinho’s side drew 1-1 with Sporting Lisbon last weekend, a match where Heorhiy Sudakov rescued a point late on. The Portuguese giants are still chasing consistency, but in Europe, their home record is worrying: just one win in their last twelve matches at Estádio da Luz. Can Mourinho change that narrative? It’s hard to say, but he’ll need every ounce of tactical brilliance to outsmart Conte.
Injuries haven’t helped Benfica’s cause. Alexander Bah, Bruma, and Dodi Lukebakio remain sidelined, yet Mourinho has options up front. Vangelis Pavlidis, the Greek striker in red-hot form domestically, is expected to lead the line again. Gianluca Prestianni, despite a recent sending-off, could feature before serving his suspension. Benfica’s problem isn’t creativity, it’s turning dominance into goals. Mourinho admitted after the Sporting draw that they “deserved more,” and he’s not wrong. Still, the clock is ticking for the Eagles to soar again in Europe.
Napoli, on the other hand, are soaring high. Conte’s men are unbeaten in five straight games across all competitions, including a statement win over Juventus that sent them back to the top of Serie A. In Europe, though, it’s been a mixed bag. They’ve lost their last four Champions League away matches, conceding fifteen goals in the process. That’s a stat that’ll keep Conte awake at night. Even so, his new 3-4-2-1 system seems to be clicking, with Rasmus Hojlund finding his scoring boots and David Neres thriving against his former club. The question is: can Napoli finally translate their domestic dominance into European success?
Conte’s side will again miss key players like Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, and Stanislav Lobotka. Yet, even with a depleted squad, Napoli’s spirit looks unshakable. Scott McTominay’s late heroics against Qarabag showed the team’s resilience under pressure. Their recent form, both mentally and physically, suggests they’re ready to dig deep in Lisbon. This one feels like a tense battle: Mourinho’s defensive discipline versus Conte’s direct, high-pressing energy. And in the end, Champions League Stats might just favor the Italians to avoid defeat.
Romelu Lukaku offered Napoli a boost as he completed an individual training session, signalling that his return from a long femoral injury is near. After four demanding months shaped also by personal loss, the Belgian striker conveyed optimism with a brief message: “See you soon.” Napoli expects him back either for the upcoming Udinese match or the Italian Super Cup commitments. Source: Gazzetta.it
Backing Napoli on the double chance (X2) looks the most reasonable option. Conte’s team have regained confidence after five consecutive wins across all competitions, while Benfica continue to struggle in front of goal, scoring just once in their last three Champions League matches. Mourinho’s side also have a poor record at home in Europe, with only one victory in their last twelve outings at Estádio da Luz. Despite Napoli’s away struggles in this competition, their tactical discipline and pace on the counter make them dangerous against a Benfica side desperate for points. The Italians’ midfield, led by McTominay, has shown consistency and resilience despite injury setbacks. Meanwhile, Benfica’s defensive lapses against Sporting and Ajax suggest Napoli can at least force a draw. Considering form, mentality, and tactical stability, Napoli avoiding defeat (X2) appears to be the smartest and safest pick for this midweek clash in Lisbon.
FAQ – Benfica vs Napoli Prediction
Who will win between Benfica and Napoli?
It’s too close to call. Benfica need the points, but Napoli’s recent form gives them a slight edge to get at least a draw in Lisbon.
Where can I watch the Benfica vs Napoli live?
The Benfica vs Napoli Champions League match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 6 and Discovery+.
What time does Benfica vs Napoli start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 (GMT) on Wednesday, December 10, 2025.
Author
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Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
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