Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction LaLiga 18.10.2025


Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s La Liga clash at the Estadio Wanda Metropolitano promises fireworks. Atletico, currently fifth with 13 points from eight games, are keen to bounce back after a mixed start to the season. Meanwhile, Osasuna sit 12th with 10 points, hoping to continue their patchy but occasionally inspired form. In this article, you’ll discover La Liga Soccer Stats from XpertStats tipsters that shine a light on this key fixture.
- Atletico Madrid have scored an impressive 2.75 goals per match on average this season.
- Osasuna have struggled offensively, scoring just 0.25 goals per game.
- Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 100% of Atletico Madrid’s games.
- Atletico Madrid dominate corners, averaging 8.25 per match compared to Osasuna’s 2.
Atletico Madrid have been far from flawless, but they bring serious firepower. Scoring 2.75 goals per game and conceding 1.25, Diego Simeone’s side average four goals per match. Over 1.5 goals per game have occurred in every fixture so far, highlighting their attacking potential. Corners are another weapon, with 8.25 per match, while their BTTS rate of 75% suggests defensive lapses can be punished. Still, losing two of their last three games against Osasuna shows that this clash is far from a guaranteed stroll in the park.
Osasuna, under Alessio Lisci, are defensively compact, conceding 1.5 goals per match, but their attack struggles might worry them here. Scoring just 0.25 goals per game and registering only seven goals across eight matches, they need a breakthrough in the final third. That said, their 2-1 win over Getafe shows they can be resilient and opportunistic. They will likely sit deep and look to hit Atletico on the counter, though converting chances has been a challenge.
Team news gives Atletico an edge, though questions remain. Clement Lenglet is suspended, but Thiago Almada and Jose Gimenez could return. Expect Antoine Griezmann to spearhead the attack alongside Simeone and Alvarez, with Barrios and Koke controlling midfield. Osasuna may be without Aimar Oroz and Juan Cruz, which weakens their already limited attacking options. Ruben Garcia and Ante Budimir will be key if they are to carve open Atletico’s defense.
Looking at the numbers, this fixture favors the home side. Atletico Madrid’s recent scoring consistency and corner dominance create multiple avenues for goals. Osasuna’s defensive discipline may slow the flow, but their lack of attacking output makes it hard to see them breaking down Los Colchoneros regularly. Expect a high-tempo match, with Atletico pressing and Osasuna aiming to frustrate. For fans and bettors, this one is tantalizing: can Atletico assert dominance, or will Osasuna spring another surprise?
Speaking ahead of Atletico Madrid’s clash with Osasuna, Diego Simeone emphasized patience and focus as key themes after the international break. The coach highlighted steady progress within his squad, praising players’ adaptability and determination to improve. Simeone avoided commenting on the rumored Miami match, stating he prefers to “see before believing.” Confident yet cautious, he expects a tough battle against Osasuna’s compact defense. Source: marca.com.

Atletico Madrid have been dominant at home this season, averaging 2.75 goals per match and maintaining a 75% BTTS record. With Osasuna scoring just 0.25 goals per game, the visitors are unlikely to threaten Simeone’s side significantly. Atletico also average 8.25 corners per match, suggesting sustained pressure and attacking opportunities. Despite losing two of their last three encounters with Osasuna, the Red and Whites’ recent form shows they can break down disciplined defenses. Key players such as Griezmann, Simeone, and Alvarez provide attacking firepower, and the potential return of Thiago Almada adds creativity. Defensively, despite Lenglet’s suspension, the team has enough quality to handle Osasuna’s limited attack. Considering home advantage, attacking stats, and squad depth, Atletico Madrid are well-placed to secure a win in this fixture. This makes backing a home victory a statistically supported option.
Atletico Madrid games consistently feature goals, with over 1.5 goals recorded in 100% of their matches this season. Scoring 2.75 goals per match and averaging four goals per fixture, Simeone’s side know how to create chances. Osasuna’s defense is relatively solid, conceding only 1.5 per game, but their attacking struggles, 0.25 goals per match, suggest the majority of scoring will come from Atletico. Corners and BTTS stats indicate sustained attacking pressure, which almost guarantees at least two goals in the match. Even if Osasuna aim to sit back, Atletico’s offensive depth and creativity, led by Griezmann and Alvarez, should overcome most defensive setups. This makes over 1.5 goals a statistically safe and reasonable betting angle for punters, supported by historical trends and team form.