Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips for the La Liga matchday 19, scheduled for Wednesday, December 03, 2025, at 18:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Premier Sports 2 and DAZN Espana from the Estadio San Mamés in Bilbao. The referee will be Manzano J. In this article, you’ll discover LaLiga Predictions and insights from XpertStats tipsters.

• Real Madrid have drawn their last three La Liga matches, slipping to second in the standings.
• Athletic Bilbao boast one of the league’s stingiest home defenses, conceding just 0.86 goals per game.
• San Mamés has seen under 3.5 goals in six of Bilbao’s last seven home fixtures.
• Both teams average around 9.5 corners per match, suggesting plenty of attacking intent.

Athletic Bilbao head into this one riding the high of a 2-0 win at Levante, with Robert Navarro and Nico Williams getting on the scoresheet. But Valverde’s men have been inconsistent all season, alternating between gritty wins and frustrating losses. Their average of 1.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded shows a well-balanced side but not an explosive one. At San Mamés, though, they’re a different beast: 13 points from seven home games speak volumes. Still, injuries have taken a toll, and with Inaki Williams doubtful again, that attacking spark might just flicker instead of flame.

Defensively, Bilbao have kept things tidy, with only 43% of their matches seeing over 2.5 goals. They’re disciplined but not shy of physical duels, averaging 14.29 fouls committed per game. It’s hard to say if that intensity will unsettle Real Madrid, but the Basque crowd will demand it. Valverde’s main concern will be converting pressure into chances, especially against a Madrid side that still dominates possession, even on off days.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, have been stuck in a mini-rut. Three straight draws in La Liga, and suddenly the title race feels tighter. The 1-1 stalemate with Girona summed it up, dominance in spells, but not enough to kill games off. Mbappé, with 14 goals this season, remains their biggest weapon. Yet even he can’t do it alone. Xabi Alonso’s men average 1.88 goals scored per match, but their 1.25 conceded shows cracks that Athletic might exploit. Still, this is Madrid, and they often wake up when the lights are brightest.

That said, Real’s away record remains the best in Spain: 15 points from eight road games. The pairing of Militao and Rudiger returning to full fitness is a massive boost, and Bellingham’s creative spark could be decisive. This feels like a tight, tactical battle rather than a goal fest. With both sides averaging under three goals per match, it might come down to patience and one well-taken chance. Expect another gritty contest typical of these LaLiga Predictions matchups.