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Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction LaLiga 04.10.2025

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Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction LaLiga 04.10.2025

Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday night’s La Liga fixture at San Mamés. The Basque side are desperate to halt a seven-match winless streak, while the Islanders are fighting to escape the relegation zone. In this article, you’ll discover the latest LaLiga Predictions powered by XpertStats insights.

  • Athletic Bilbao enter this clash winless in their last seven matches across all competitions.
  • Mallorca sit 19th in La Liga but showed fight with a 1-0 win against Alaves last weekend.
  • Both clubs struggle for goals, hinting at a cagey battle at San Mamés.
  • Key man Vedat Muriqi has scored four of Mallorca’s six league goals this season.


Things haven’t looked too rosy for Athletic Bilbao lately. Ernesto Valverde’s side began the season with promise, sweeping past Sevilla, Rayo and Betis, but they’ve since collapsed, dropping points against Valencia, Villarreal and Girona. Their recent 4-1 thumping by Borussia Dortmund in Europe only deepened the wound. San Mamés is usually a fortress, but right now it feels more like a house of doubts. Can Nico Williams’ expected return inject the spark they’ve been missing? That’s the million-euro question.

Statistically, Athletic’s struggles are glaring. They average just 1.25 goals per match while conceding one per outing. Half of their games have ended with both teams scoring, but fewer than three goals have been netted in six of their last seven league meetings with Mallorca. Even their corner stats, a league-high 6.75 won per game, speak of effort without end product. For a side chasing Europe, the drop-off in consistency is startling.

Mallorca, meanwhile, aren’t in much better shape. Jagoba Arrasate’s men sit 19th, but their last few matches suggest a slight upturn. They fought Atletico Madrid to a draw, pushed Real Sociedad close, and finally claimed their first win of the season against Alaves. Vedat Muriqi remains their talisman, already bagging four goals in six appearances. Without him, the Pirates would be sinking. Still, with Asano out injured, their attacking options are paper-thin.

The Islanders’ numbers are a mixed bag: averaging one goal scored and two conceded per game, with 67% of matches crossing the 2.5 goals line. But history leans in their favor. Six of the last seven encounters between these two sides ended level, and they’ve only lost once away at Bilbao since 2021. It’s a tricky fixture to call. While the Lions are favorites on paper, Mallorca’s gritty resilience means this could easily become another tight, low-scoring affair. One thing feels safe to say: this won’t be a goal fest, and it may come down to a single moment of quality.

For more expert takes and weekly updates on Spanish football, don’t forget to check the latest LaLiga Predictions here at XpertStats.

Mallorca fans are preparing their biggest trip of the season as 325 supporters will travel to San Mamés for Saturday’s LaLiga clash against Athletic Club. The strong presence follows their recent win over Alavés and reflects growing optimism despite sitting near the bottom of the table. Organized by the Unió de Penyes Mallorquinistas and Moviment Mallorquinista, this away backing highlights the passion of the Bermellones faithful. Source: marca.com.

Prediction
Under 2.5 Goals @1.67
The numbers point firmly toward a low-scoring affair. Athletic Bilbao have averaged just 1.25 goals per game this season while conceding only one, producing an overall match average of 2.25. In fact, only 25% of their league matches have gone over 2.5 goals. Mallorca, on the other hand, have scored one goal per game and conceded two, with 67% of their fixtures hitting the over. However, history between these sides tells a different story: six of their last seven meetings ended with fewer than three goals, often cagey and tense. Athletic are desperate to stop the rot after seven winless matches, meaning Valverde will likely prioritize defensive stability over risk-taking. Mallorca also come into this fixture missing attacking options like Asano, reducing their firepower. With both sides struggling for creativity, the under 2.5 market looks the safest play. A tight, scrappy contest feels almost inevitable.

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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