Athletic Bilbao vs Girona Prediction LaLiga 23.09.2025
Share
Athletic Bilbao vs Girona Prediction LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Girona Prediction and Betting Tips for Tuesday’s La Liga showdown at San Mames. Ernesto Valverde’s side are aiming to stop the rot after three straight defeats, while Girona are desperate for their first win of the campaign. In this article, you’ll discover LaLiga Predictions and insights from our tipsters at XpertStats.
- Athletic Bilbao looking to end a three-match losing streak at San Mames
- Girona bottom of the table after four defeats in five games
- Los Leones have won four of the last five home clashes with Girona
- Both sides missing key players through injury and suspension
Athletic looked strong early in the season with three wins on the bounce, but the injury to Nico Williams has hurt their rhythm. Since then, defeats against Alaves, Arsenal and Valencia have exposed a fragile attack. Losing Dani Vivian to suspension last weekend was another blow, but the return of Aymeric Laporte could steady things at the back. At San Mames, history favors them: four wins in the last five home meetings with Girona, including a dominant 3-0 last term. Can they rediscover that sharpness here?
Girona, meanwhile, sit rooted to the bottom after a nightmare start. Four losses in five games, including a 4-0 collapse against Levante on Saturday, tell the story of a side low on confidence. Even their best outing, a gritty 1-1 draw at Celta Vigo, ended with heartbreak from a stoppage-time penalty. The suspensions of Axel Witsel and Vitor Reis make the challenge even steeper for Michel’s men. It’s hard to see how they keep Bilbao quiet in this mood.
The stats paint a brutal picture: Girona concede three goals per game on average while only scoring 0.5. Athletic, despite their recent slump, still average 1.33 goals scored and 6.33 corners won per match, showing they create enough chances. Add the fiery San Mames atmosphere and you’ve got a cocktail that doesn’t bode well for the visitors. That said, football’s a funny game, Girona did once steal a 3-2 here back in February 2023. Lightning striking twice, though? It feels unlikely.
From a betting angle, Athletic look the safer play. Girona’s leaky defense, combined with Athletic’s solid home record in this fixture, tips the balance toward the Basque side. Expect a battle, expect fouls – Bilbao average nearly 13 fouls committed per game – but also expect Los Leones to have the final say. That’s where our LaLiga Predictions lean for this midweek clash.
Athletic Bilbao coach Ernesto Valverde admitted his side must be more clinical when dominating matches, after three consecutive defeats at San Mamés. Suspended for the Girona clash, Valverde stressed the importance of converting control into results, while highlighting fitness issues for Nico Williams and Aymeric Laporte’s gradual return to rhythm. Despite Girona’s struggles, he warned against underestimating them, praising their attacking spirit. Source: Marca.
Athletic Bilbao to win looks the logical choice here. Despite a recent slump, the Basque side have dominated Girona at San Mames, winning four of their last five home clashes and keeping three clean sheets in the process. Statistically, Bilbao average 1.33 goals scored per game and create plenty of pressure with 6.33 corners won on average. Compare that to Girona, who concede three goals per match and have shipped 10 goals in their last three defeats. Their attack is toothless too, averaging just 0.5 goals per game. Factor in the suspensions of Witsel and Reis and you get a Girona side even weaker defensively. Bilbao, meanwhile, should benefit from Laporte’s return in defense and the energy of the home crowd. Even without Nico Williams, they still have Inaki Williams and Gorka Guruzeta to trouble Girona’s backline. The balance of stats and form leans clearly toward a Bilbao win.
More Predictions:
