Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe Prediction LaLiga 25.10.2025
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Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe Prediction LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s La Liga clash at San Mames. The Basques come into this one looking to build on their Champions League success, while Getafe hope to end their recent slump. For full insights across Spain’s top flight, check out LaLiga Predictions from XpertStats experts.
- Athletic Bilbao aim to extend their unbeaten home run at San Mames.
- Getafe’s away struggles continue with no wins in their last four league trips.
- Under 2.5 goals landed in three of the last five head-to-head meetings.
- Expect a physical contest: both teams average over 28 fouls per game.
Athletic Bilbao are quietly finding their rhythm under Ernesto Valverde. Their 3–1 win over Qarabag brought confidence back to the dressing room after back-to-back European setbacks. In La Liga, they’ve collected four points from the last two matches and sit eighth with 14 points from nine games. Scoring just nine goals all season shows their attack still misfires, but conceding only nine speaks volumes about their defensive steel. Mikel Jauregizar and Gorka Guruzeta were standouts in midweek, can they deliver again at San Mames?
Still, Bilbao’s games rarely turn into goal fests. With an average of just 2.4 total goals per match and 40% of their fixtures finishing over 2.5 goals, the Lions often keep things tight. They also dominate the corner count, averaging 6.8 per game, reflecting their territorial control. Yet, their long-standing struggles against Getafe remain a worry, only 13 wins in 40 meetings, with nearly half ending in draws. That’s a stat Valverde would love to change.
Getafe, meanwhile, are stuck in neutral. A 1–0 defeat to Real Madrid last weekend exposed their lack of cutting edge up front. They’ve scored just once per game on average, while conceding 1.8, a fragile balance that keeps them floating mid-table. The Deep Blue Ones haven’t beaten Bilbao since February 2020, though they’ve managed to hold them seven times since. Manager José Bordalás will need all his tactical grit to snatch a result here, especially with Allan Nyom and Alex Sancris suspended.
There’s still some spark in Getafe’s attack, young Adrian Liso’s three goals in six games are a bright spot, while Borja Mayoral remains a threat when in rhythm. Even so, Getafe’s 2.8 goals-per-match average often flatters them, as much of that comes from defensive lapses. Expect a battle of attrition rather than spectacle. Both sides will fight for inches, and don’t be surprised if another low-scoring draw unfolds. It’s one of those fixtures where discipline might matter more than flair. Bold? Maybe. But history backs it. And that’s why it’s one of the weekend’s most intriguing LaLiga Predictions.
Athletic Bilbao will face Getafe without Iñaki Williams, who suffered an adductor injury in his right leg during the win over Qarabag. The Ghanaian forward was replaced by Álex Berenguer in the 38th minute, and medical tests have confirmed a muscle issue that could sideline him for two to three weeks. His absence is a setback for Ernesto Valverde’s plans as Athletic prepare for their next LaLiga challenge. Source: marca.com.
Athletic Bilbao have been rock-solid at home this season, collecting 10 points from five matches at San Mames. Valverde’s men average 1.4 goals scored per game and concede just 1, showing good balance and control. Meanwhile, Getafe have struggled on the road, winning none of their last four away league fixtures. Historically, Getafe haven’t beaten Bilbao since 2020, and seven of the last ten meetings have ended in draws. With key players like Nyom and Sancris suspended, Getafe’s defensive shape will likely be disrupted. Bilbao’s attacking trio, Sancet, Berenguer, and Guruzeta, should create enough chances to avoid defeat. Given Bilbao’s strong home record and Getafe’s inconsistency, the 1X market looks the safest value. A draw is possible, but an away win seems unlikely given the stats and form.
Athletic Bilbao and Getafe aren’t exactly free-scoring outfits. The Basques average 1.4 goals per game and concede just one, relying more on control than chaos. Meanwhile, Getafe’s attack has been inconsistent, hitting one goal per match while conceding nearly twice as many. That’s not a recipe for fireworks. Recent history backs this up, several of their head-to-heads ended 0-0 or 1-1, with neither side taking major risks. Both teams also rack up fouls (over 28 combined per game), breaking the game’s rhythm and keeping the tempo low. With Bilbao missing key attacking options and Getafe’s defensive focus away from home, chances could be limited. Under 2.5 goals offers strong value for a fixture that’s often defined by tension, not goals.
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