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Atalanta vs Como Prediction Serie A 04.10.2025

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Atalanta vs Como Prediction Serie A 04.10.2025

Atalanta vs Como Prediction Serie A

Atalanta vs Como Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 6 of the Italian top flight, set for Saturday, October 4. The Lombardy derby kicks off in Bergamo with just one point separating the sides. Here, we’ll dive into the numbers, storylines, and Serie A Stats to help shape our betting outlook.

  • Atalanta remain unbeaten in Serie A and boast one of the most dangerous attacks in Italy.
  • Como are just one point behind their Lombardy rivals after a strong start under Cesc Fabregas.
  • Injuries and suspensions are piling up for Atalanta, including captain Marten de Roon.
  • Como have lost only once this season and will be without Jesus Rodriguez through suspension.


Atalanta’s rollercoaster start under Ivan Juric seems to be settling into rhythm. They stunned Torino with three goals in eight minutes, held Juventus to a 1-1 draw in Turin, and bounced back in Europe with a gritty 2-1 comeback win over Club Brugge. That’s resilience you can’t ignore. Yet selection headaches loom large. Captain Marten de Roon is suspended, while Scalvini, Scamacca, and Kolasinac are among several names sidelined. Still, La Dea’s firepower hasn’t dimmed: they average 2.5 goals per match, with 100% of their Serie A outings seeing both teams score. Can Juric’s men keep their streak alive despite the setbacks?

Como, meanwhile, are making plenty of noise of their own. Under Cesc Fabregas, the Lariani aren’t just surviving they’re competing. They knocked Sassuolo out of the Coppa Italia, sit just behind Atalanta in the table, and have only tasted defeat once this season. The downside? They tend to let leads slip. Last weekend’s draw against Cremonese was another reminder of their inexperience. Nico Paz remains their brightest spark, already netting three league goals, but losing Jesus Rodriguez to suspension is a blow. Fabregas himself won’t even be on the touchline. That’s a tough combo.

Still, Como’s style makes them dangerous. They average a goal a game and have scored in 50% of matches with over 2.5 goals. Add to that their shock 3-2 win in Bergamo just over a year ago, and suddenly this doesn’t feel like a foregone conclusion. Can they repeat that upset without some of their key men? It’s hard to say, but the fight is there. And for all Atalanta’s attacking flair, they do concede an average of one goal per outing exactly the kind of window Como could exploit.

All in all, we’re looking at a game that promises entertainment rather than cagey, tactical maneuvering. Atalanta’s injuries make them vulnerable, Como’s youth makes them unpredictable, and both teams have goal-scoring threats in abundance. Mix it all together and you get a Lombardy clash that feels less like David vs Goliath and more like two scrappy neighbors going toe-to-toe. If the numbers from the Serie A Stats are any indication, expect action at both ends and a lively Saturday night in Bergamo.

On the eve of Atalanta vs Como, coach Ivan Juric confirmed in his press conference that the squad remains heavily affected by injuries. Doubts persist over Hien’s recovery, which could push La Dea to switch to a back four, while Lookman and Ederson are being monitored after their midweek returns. Juric also highlighted the impact of absences like Scalvini, Zalewski, and Kolasinac, stressing the need to adapt ahead of Saturday’s Serie A clash (gazzetta.it).

Prediction
Both Teams to Score @1.63
Atalanta have been nothing short of electric going forward, averaging 2.5 goals per game. But here’s the catch: they’ve also conceded in every league match so far. That 100% record for both teams scoring isn’t a fluke, it reflects their open, attacking style under Ivan Juric. On the other side, Como aren’t exactly prolific, averaging one goal per game, but they’ve shown resilience. Nico Paz in particular has carried their attack, finding the net three times already. They also stunned Atalanta in Bergamo last year with three goals, proof they can hurt La Dea when given space. With Atalanta’s defense stretched by suspensions and injuries, this looks like the perfect storm for both sides to get on the scoresheet. In short: Atalanta will attack, Como will counter, and the numbers back up another high-energy game with goals at both ends.

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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