Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 9 of the Italian Serie A, scheduled for Tuesday, October 28, 2025, at 19:45 GMT. The game will take place at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo and will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime, Discovery+ and DAZN. Both sides enter this midweek clash chasing consistency in a season full of twists. In this article, you’ll find expert insights and Serie A Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.

• Atalanta are unbeaten in Serie A but have drawn six of eight games this season.
• AC Milan sit five points clear despite a frustrating draw with Pisa last weekend.
• Ivan Juric believes his side should have “eight more points” based on performance levels.
• Rafael Leao is in hot form, scoring three goals in his last two matches.

Atalanta are walking a fine line between stability and frustration. Despite remaining unbeaten, Ivan Juric’s men have been stuck in a loop of draws, five in a row, in fact. It’s not that they’re not creating chances. They are. Juric himself admitted, “We should have eight more points; we’re paying for a complicated summer.” With an average of 1.5 goals scored per game and conceding just 0.75, the numbers back up a solid foundation. But here’s the catch: they convert pressure into goals only 25% of the time in matches over 2.5 goals. That’s not enough for a side aiming at Europe.

Still, the Gewiss Stadium will buzz on Tuesday night. Lookman’s return offers attacking depth, while Scamacca and Krstovic remain in search of form. Can they find that spark against Milan’s brick-wall defense? Juric’s team averages a whopping 8.25 corners per match and commits around 10 fouls, signaling intensity in every phase. But patience, as their coach keeps saying, might be the real weapon here.

Over on the other side, Max Allegri’s AC Milan arrive with quiet confidence. They’ve conceded zero goals on average and score 1.67 per match, not flashy, but ruthless when it counts. Their recent 2-2 draw with Pisa was a gut punch, rescued only by a stunning 93rd-minute strike from substitute Zachary Athekame. Allegri brushed it off calmly, saying the team’s “focus is on consistency, not panic.” With Leao in red-hot form and Loftus-Cheek returning, Milan look like a side built for grinding results rather than winning beauty contests.

That said, Milan’s numbers show a side efficient but not extravagant. Only 33% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, and they’ve yet to record a single BTTS game this season. Even so, Allegri’s rotation plans and tactical tweaks, possibly bringing back Modric in midfield, could surprise Juric. The battle may come down to set pieces and transitions rather than open play. In short, it’s one of those nights where fine margins decide everything. For punters seeking value, this one’s as intriguing as they come. And yes, the Serie A Predictions suggest a razor-thin edge for the visitors.