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AS Roma vs Parma Prediction Serie A 29.10.2025

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AS Roma vs Parma Prediction Serie A 29.10.2025

AS Roma vs Parma Prediction Serie A

AS Roma vs Parma Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 9 of the Italian Serie A, scheduled for October 29, 2025, at 17:30 GMT. The match takes place at the iconic Stadio Olimpico and will be broadcast live on DAZN. Roma sit second in the table and aim to tighten their grip on a Champions League spot. In this article, you’ll find expert insights and Serie A Predictions from the XpertStats team.

  • Roma have won four of their last five Serie A games but struggle at home.
  • Parma are goalless away from home this season, with just three goals total.
  • Only one of Roma’s last five matches featured both teams scoring.
  • High foul averages suggest a physical, stop-start encounter at the Olimpico.


AS Roma returned to winning ways with a narrow 1-0 victory at Sassuolo last weekend, a result that steadied the ship after two frustrating defeats. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side have been defensive juggernauts this season, boasting five clean sheets from eight matches and conceding just 0.5 goals per game. That said, their struggles at home remain a concern: three consecutive defeats in all competitions at the Olimpico, scoring only once. Can they finally shake off the curse in front of their fans?

Parma, meanwhile, head to the capital desperate to find some rhythm. Carlos Cuesta’s men are hanging just above the relegation zone, winless away and goalless on their travels. Their attack has looked blunt, averaging 0 goals scored per match, while conceding 1 on average. Even so, the Gialloblu have shown glimpses of organization, keeping three clean sheets in their last five games. It’s a case of defensive grit versus offensive drought.

In terms of style, expect a scrappy affair. Roma’s matches have averaged over 33 fouls per game, one of the highest tallies in the league, while Parma sit just behind with 26.5. Both teams prefer physical duels over flowing football, and with players like Cristante and Sorensen patrolling midfield, it could easily turn into a stop-start grind rather than a free-flowing spectacle. The numbers make a strong case for a high foul count and few goals.

Team news will matter here. Paulo Dybala finally broke his Serie A scoring duck last weekend and should start again, while Lorenzo Pellegrini and Matias Soule battle for a place behind him. For Parma, Cutrone and Pellegrino remain their only scorers this term, not ideal heading into Rome. Injuries continue to plague Cuesta’s side, and without Almqvist or Oristanio, their creative spark looks dim. Still, football loves a surprise. Could this be the night Parma silence the Olimpico?

History favors Roma. They’ve beaten Parma in the last two meetings without conceding, and in 12 of their last 15 head-to-heads overall. Even so, home form issues make this less predictable than it looks on paper. Expect a disciplined, tight, and tactical game, the kind where one mistake decides everything. For more detailed analysis and weekly picks, check out our latest updates on Serie A Predictions from XpertStats.

AS Roma’s remarkable rise under Gian Piero Gasperini continues to draw attention, with the coach once again reinventing his team through bold tactical tweaks. His latest experiment, deploying Bryan Cristante as an attacking midfielder behind Bailey and Dybala: paid off brilliantly in the win over Sassuolo. Gasperini’s constant adjustments, from Dybala as a false nine to shifting Wesley’s position, reflect his creative approach to keeping Roma competitive at the top. Source: gazzetta.it.

Prediction
Over 26.5 Fouls @1.71
This fixture screams physicality. AS Roma’s matches average 33.25 fouls per game, the highest figure in Serie A. Their aggressive pressing and tough midfield core, with Cristante and Kone leading duels, make every contest intense. Parma, for their part, commit and suffer a combined 26.5 fouls per match. Add both sides’ low attacking output (Roma 0.75 goals, Parma 0), and we’re likely to see more tackles than chances. When a match lacks open play rhythm, fouls inevitably climb. Moreover, both teams rely on defensive compactness and counterattacks, inviting contact-heavy transitions. With Roma pushing at home and Parma defending deep, tension will be high. Expect cynical fouls, tactical stoppages, and frustration. Over 26.5 fouls looks the most logical and data-backed bet here.

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FAQ – AS Roma vs Parma Prediction

Who will win between AS Roma and Parma?

Roma are the favourites at home, but with their recent struggles at the Olimpico, Parma could make it uncomfortable. Expect a tight match.

Where can I watch the AS Roma vs Parma live?

The AS Roma vs Parma Serie A match will be broadcast live on DAZN in Italy at 17:30 (GMT).

What time does AS Roma vs Parma start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 17:30 (GMT) on Tuesday, October 29, 2025, at Stadio Olimpico.

What’s the likely score prediction?

Roma are expected to edge it, possibly 1-0 or 2-0, given Parma’s scoring drought and Roma’s solid defence.

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