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AS Roma vs Inter Milan Prediction Serie A 18.10.2025

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AS Roma vs Inter Milan Prediction Serie A 18.10.2025

AS Roma vs Inter Milan Prediction Serie A

AS Roma vs Inter Milan Prediction and Betting Tips for the weekend clash at Stadio Olimpico promises fireworks. Roma sit second on the table with a rock-solid defense, conceding just two goals in six matches, while Inter Milan are flying high after a string of wins and 17 goals in Serie A. Fans can expect a tight contest, but history favors the visitors. Our Serie A Stats reveal key trends that could guide bettors and football enthusiasts alike.

  • Roma have conceded only 2 goals this season, boasting one of Serie A’s tightest defenses.
  • Inter Milan are the league’s top scorers with 17 goals, averaging 2.5 goals per match.
  • Roma have not beaten Inter at Stadio Olimpico for nine years; Inter have won the last four away games.
  • Both teams play aggressively, with combined fouls averaging over 28 per game.


Roma have been formidable at the back this season, with goalkeeper Mile Svilar keeping multiple clean sheets and the defensive line of Celik, Mancini, and Ndicka holding firm. Yet, scoring has been a struggle; the Giallorossi have found the net just six times in their last five games. Players like Matias Soule and Bryan Cristante will be under pressure to deliver upfront against a ruthless Inter side. Can Gasperini’s men finally break the away curse at Olimpico? That’s the million-dollar question.

Inter Milan, on the other hand, bring sheer attacking firepower. Led by Lautaro Martinez and supported by Cristian Chivu’s tactical setup, they have scored in 11 consecutive away games against Roma, averaging over two goals per match. Injuries to Marcus Thuram and Matteo Darmian could test squad depth, but with nine different scorers already on the board this season, Inter’s versatility is a serious threat. Half of their conceded goals have come late, so Roma might sense an opportunity if they can hold on.

Looking at fouls and corners, this match could get physical. Roma average 28.66 fouls per game, while Inter come in with 25.5. Corners are also plentiful: Roma see 8.67 per match, Inter 11. With aggressive pressing and tactical fouls likely, expect a tight, scrappy encounter in midfield, and perhaps a flurry of set-piece opportunities at both ends. Bettors should keep an eye on these stats for live markets, as they often swing the game.

Overall, this clash is about contrasting styles: Roma’s tight defense and measured attack versus Inter’s free-flowing, high-scoring approach. Given Inter’s historical dominance in Rome and Roma’s modest goal-scoring record, predictions lean toward an away win or a tightly contested high-foul game. Our Serie A Stats underline the importance of set pieces, corners, and disciplinary records, making this a thrilling tactical showdown.

For Saturday’s Serie A clash at Stadio Olimpico, Roma coach Gian Piero Gasperini has named his squad to face Inter Milan, with a notable surprise return for Leon Bailey after a long injury layoff. However, Angelino remains sidelined, extending his absence from the lineup. Bailey is expected to start on the bench, offering depth rather than immediate impact. This squad selection highlights Roma’s strategy to balance experience and fitness ahead of the high-stakes encounter. Source: gazzetta.it.

Prediction
Over 25.5 Fouls @1.88
Both AS Roma and Inter Milan bring a physical edge to this match, making the Over 25.5 Fouls market compelling. Roma average 12.33 fouls per game while winning 16.33, indicating frequent tactical stops and midfield battles. Inter, meanwhile, commit 12 fouls per match and win 13.5 on average, showing they are not afraid to engage in physical duels. Combined, that puts the average fouls per game at nearly 29, exceeding the threshold. Historical encounters between these sides have been tense, often spilling into the referee’s book. With Inter pushing forward aggressively and Roma relying on defensive solidity, expect scuffles and tactical fouls throughout. Set-pieces and late-game scrapping could further inflate the tally. Considering these numbers, plus both teams’ high-stakes mentality and aggressive pressing styles, Over 25.5 Fouls is a well-supported choice for bettors seeking value in this high-intensity clash.

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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