LaLiga Predictions Football Predictions

Alaves vs Valencia Prediction LaLiga 20.10.2025

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Alaves vs Valencia Prediction LaLiga 20.10.2025

Alaves vs Valencia Prediction LaLiga

Alaves vs Valencia Prediction and Betting Tips for Monday’s La Liga clash at the Mendizorrotza Stadium. The Basques are aiming to build on their 3-1 win over Elche, while Valencia look to halt a worrying slump. Dive into our LaLiga Predictions from XpertStats experts for deeper analysis and value picks.

  • Alaves are unbeaten in their last four meetings with Valencia (W3, D1).
  • Valencia have not won away from home this season (D1, L3).
  • Both teams average over 3 goals per match this campaign.
  • Carlos Vicente has scored in each of Alaves’ last three home games.


Alaves sit 10th in the table after eight rounds, showing real progress under Eduardo Coudet. They’ve netted an average of 1.75 goals per game while conceding 1.25, which tells you everything about their attacking ambition. Every one of their matches this season has featured over 1.5 goals, a dream stat for neutral fans and bettors alike. At home, they’re tough, gritty, and full of energy. Two of their three wins have come here, and with Vicente firing on all cylinders, they’ll fancy their chances again.

Still, this isn’t a perfect side. Their defense can wobble at times, especially when they push too high up the pitch. But with Facundo Garces returning from suspension and Moussa Diarra potentially back from injury, the back line should look sharper. Coudet’s men haven’t lost to Valencia since 2021, that’s a stat that sticks. And honestly, the crowd at Mendizorrotza could make the difference. There’s a belief in this squad that wasn’t there last season.

As for Valencia, things are looking a bit rough. Two straight defeats, both to 10-man opponents, have left fans frustrated and doubting Carlos Corberan’s approach. Eight points from eight games puts them just above the relegation zone, and their away form? Let’s just say it’s worrying. A record of D1 and L3 away tells its own story. They’ve shipped an average of 2.75 goals per match while scoring just 0.75. Hardly the form of a side chasing European dreams. Can they really turn things around on Monday? It’s hard to see it happening fast.

That said, Valencia do have flashes of promise. Hugo Duro and Javi Guerra should return to the starting lineup, bringing a bit more bite up front. Arnaut Danjuma remains one of their few creative sparks, though consistency is an issue. The chemistry isn’t quite there yet. Corberan will need to get his men mentally ready, because another defeat could pile on the pressure. In a fixture like this, pride matters as much as points. Expect intensity, cards, and chances at both ends, just the way fans like it in LaLiga Predictions week.

Valencia coach Carlos Corberán urged calm ahead of Monday’s key clash with Alavés, stressing that recent goals conceded from set pieces “shouldn’t create panic.” Instead, he called for greater focus and awareness in decisive moments. Speaking after two straight defeats, Corberán highlighted the team’s work during the international break to strengthen concentration and competitiveness, while recognizing the need for consistency and unity within the young squad. Source: marca.com.

Prediction
Over 1.5 Goals @1.48
If there’s one thing Alaves guarantee this season, it’s goals. Every single one of their eight league games has seen over 1.5 goals, and they’ve scored in all of them. With Vicente in fine form and Boye proving a handful, they always create danger. Valencia’s defense, meanwhile, has been all over the place, conceding 2.75 per game, the worst among mid-table sides. Yet, despite their struggles, they still find the net occasionally, averaging 0.75 goals. This combination of attacking intent and shaky defending on both sides creates a perfect recipe for goals. Mendizorrotza tends to deliver lively matches, and this one shouldn’t be any different. Even if Alaves dominate, Valencia have the players to pinch one on the break. Over 1.5 goals feels like the logical call, supported by both data and form. Expect energy, chances, and at least two goals before the final whistle.

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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