Ajax vs Zwolle Prediction 13.09.2025


Ajax vs Zwolle Prediction
Ajax vs Zwolle Prediction and Betting Tips for gameweek five of the Eredivisie, set for Saturday at the Johan Cruyff Arena. Ajax are looking to continue their perfect home record, while Zwolle dream of their first victory over the giants in over a decade. In this article, you’ll find detailed insights and Eredivisie Predictions from XpertStats experts.
- Ajax remain unbeaten at home this season with two clean-sheet victories.
- Zwolle’s last top-flight win against Ajax dates back to 1988.
- Wout Weghorst is pivotal for Ajax, contributing goals and assists.
- Zwolle head coach Henry van der Vegt has made a strong start despite a recent setback.
Ajax’s campaign has been a strange mix of dominance and frustration. At home, Johnny Heitinga’s side have been flawless: two wins, two clean sheets, and not a single sign of weakness in Amsterdam. Yet on the road, things unravel. Draws against Go Ahead Eagles and Volendam have raised eyebrows, leaving fans eager for consistency. Back in their fortress, though, they look like the Ajax of old. Wout Weghorst hasn’t just scored goals; his assist play and physical presence have added a much-needed edge to their attack. Can he fire them to another commanding home win?
History heavily tilts in Ajax’s favor. Seventeen meetings, sixteen wins for De Godenzonen, and just one draw for Zwolle in that stretch. That’s domination in capital letters. The Amsterdam crowd won’t forget December 2023, though, when Zwolle battled to a 2-2 draw. It was proof that even giants can stumble. Still, with Ko Itakura settling in at the back and Ajax’s attacking depth, Heitinga’s men look well-placed to continue their stranglehold over this fixture.
Zwolle, on the other hand, enter with quiet optimism. New boss Henry van der Vegt has given them energy and discipline, guiding them to two wins from their first three outings. Beating Twente and Telstar showed they can grind out results, though a 2-0 loss to Utrecht reminded everyone how fine their margins are. Striker Koen Kostons remains their sharpest weapon, even if he blanked before the break. He’s got two league goals already and will be the man Ajax’s defense keeps an eye on.
Still, the mountain is steep. Zwolle haven’t beaten Ajax in the league since 1988. Injuries to Odysseus Velanas and doubts over Jasper Schendelaar won’t make life easier. And with Ajax boasting fresh legs after the international break, the visitors may be in for another long night in Amsterdam. That said, Van der Vegt’s side have conceded just twice this season, second-best in the division. So, while history and firepower favor Ajax, Zwolle’s defensive grit might just keep this closer than many expect. For more Eredivisie Predictions, stay tuned to XpertStats.
Ajax at home is a different beast. Two matches at the Johan Cruyff Arena this season, two wins, and not a single goal conceded. That’s the kind of form that suggests they’re capable of more than just scraping past opponents. The head-to-head record is staggering too: 16 wins and one draw in the last 17 meetings with Zwolle. Add Wout Weghorst’s presence, three goals and an assist already and Ajax have both firepower and control. Zwolle may be well-drilled defensively, having conceded just twice this season, but history shows this fixture often gets away from them quickly. Their last league win against Ajax came in 1988. That’s more than three decades of struggle. With Ajax’s attacking depth and Zwolle missing key players like Odysseus Velanas, the gulf in quality looks too wide. Backing Ajax (-1.5) feels justified, as the hosts should win by at least two goals.