AC Milan vs Verona Prediction Serie A 28.12.2025
AC Milan vs Verona Prediction Serie A
AC Milan vs Verona Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 17 of the Italian Serie A, scheduled for December 28, 2025, at 11:30 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on DAZN and Paramount+. The clash takes place at the iconic San Siro, with the hosts looking to leapfrog Inter Milan and finish the calendar year at the summit of the table. Despite some recent stumbles in cup competitions, the Rossoneri remain a formidable force at home, having picked up 17 points from 8 matches at the Giuseppe Meazza. In this article, you’ll discover Serie A Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- AC Milan enters the match in 2nd place, trailing leaders Inter Milan by only one point.
- Hellas Verona currently sits 18th in the standings, having earned 12 points from 15 games.
- The hosts have avoided defeat in 14 consecutive Serie A matches since their opening day loss.
- Verona has secured two back to back wins recently against Fiorentina and Atalanta to boost morale.
- Massimiliano Allegri is dealing with a significant injury list, including star man Rafael Leao being out.
- Historically, Milan dominates this fixture, boasting a nine match winning streak against the visiting Gialloblu side.
Massimiliano Allegri has a bit of a headache with his squad selection this Sunday. Losing Rafael Leao to a persistent groin injury is a massive blow, especially since he creates so much space for others. Still, with Christian Pulisic leading the line with seven goals and two assists, Milan has plenty of firepower to hurt teams. The defense will likely see Koni De Winter filling in for the injured Matteo Gabbia, while Luka Modric is expected to return to the starting XI to provide that veteran composure. It is a bit of a makeshift look in some areas, but the quality gap remains wide. Can they keep their focus? It is hard to say how the recent Supercoppa loss to Napoli will affect their confidence, but playing at home usually cures most ills for this group.
On the other side of the pitch, Paolo Zanetti is finally seeing some light at the end of the tunnel. Back to back wins against Atalanta and Fiorentina have breathed life into Verona’s survival bid, though they still occupy the dreaded 18th spot. That is a bold resurgence, but facing Milan at San Siro is a completely different beast compared to a struggling Viola. Verona has historically struggled in this fixture, failing to win at this stadium since the early 20th century. Even so, Gift Orban has found his scoring boots lately, and he will be the main man to watch. Losing Martin Frese to suspension and Rafik Belghali to international duty leaves them thin on the flanks. That said, Zanetti has beaten Allegri before, so do not count them out entirely just yet.
Statistically, the numbers lean heavily toward a high activity game. Milan averages 1.5 goals per home match, while Verona actually matches that scoring rate on their travels. This suggests we might see both nets rippling, which is backed up by the fact that 63% of Milan’s home games end in Both Teams to Score. Still, the defensive metrics for Verona are worrying, as they concede 1.63 goals on average when playing away from home. With Michael Fabbri officiating, we could also see a fair few bookings. He has been averaging 5.5 cards per game this season, and with both teams playing for high stakes, things might get physical. Will the pressure of the title race get to the Rossoneri?
Ultimately, this feels like a match where Milan’s depth will eventually wear Verona down. Even without Leao, the creative hub of Modric and Pulisic should find enough cracks in a Verona defense that has struggled for clean sheets. The visitors are desperate, and that desperation usually leads to either a heroic stand or a total collapse. Given Milan’s nine match winning streak in this specific H2H, the latter seems more probable. It might not be the prettiest 1-0 win like they managed twice last season, but Allegri knows how to grind out results when it matters most. For those looking for Serie A Predictions, sticking with the home side seems like the most logical path in this year end finale.
AC Milan coach Massimiliano Allegri confirmed Rafael Leão will miss the upcoming Serie A clash against Verona due to injury. With Leão sidelined, Christopher Nkunku is expected to step up, as Allegri remains confident in the Frenchman's technical abilities. While Fofana and Loftus-Cheek are ready to anchor the midfield, Füllkrug continues working toward full fitness. The Rossoneri aim for a crucial victory at San Siro to strengthen their Champions League push.
| Expected lineup coming soon | |
| OUT |
M. GABBIA (OUT),
S. GIMENEZ (OUT),
R. LEAO (OUT)
|
| Expected lineup coming soon | |
| OUT |
D. BRADARIC (QUES),
G. GIOVANE (QUES),
M. FRESE (OUT),
J. AKPA AKPRO (OUT),
R. BELGHALI (OUT),
T. SUSLOV (OUT)
|
AC Milan enters this clash as heavy favorites for several statistical and historical reasons. Despite their recent Supercoppa disappointment, the Rossoneri have been dominant at San Siro, securing six wins in their last eight home outings. They currently trail Inter by just one point, providing immense motivation to secure a victory and potentially move into first place. Historically, Milan has won the last nine consecutive meetings against Verona, showing a clear psychological edge. Even with Rafael Leao sidelined, the presence of Christian Pulisic, who has seven league goals, ensures a potent attack. Verona, while resurgent with two recent wins, remains in the relegation zone and has won only once away from home all season. The sheer depth of the Milan squad, combined with their 14 match unbeaten streak in Serie A, makes a home win the most probable outcome for this Sunday encounter.
Statistically, this matchup is primed for goals. The overall average of goals scored between these two sides stands at 2.38 per match, comfortably cleared the 1.5 threshold. Verona’s defensive record on the road is particularly leaky, conceding nearly two goals per game, while their own attack has seen an uptick in form with Gift Orban scoring four goals recently. On the other hand, Milan’s home matches frequently see action at both ends, with a 63% BTTS rate. This suggests that even if Milan dominates, Verona has a high chance of contributing to the scoreline. Given that three of the last four meetings have produced multiple goals and both teams are currently in situations where they must attack for points, the Over 1.5 Goals market offers excellent value. It aligns perfectly with the 69% season average for this specific statistical occurrence.
Watch AC Milan vs Verona Last Match Highlights
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FAQ – AC Milan vs Verona Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between AC Milan and Verona?
AC Milan is the strong favorite due to their superior league position and an unbeaten home record in their last eight matches at San Siro.
Where can I watch AC Milan vs Verona live?
The AC Milan vs Verona Serie A match will be broadcast live on DAZN and Paramount+.
What time does AC Milan vs Verona start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 11:30 (GMT) on Sunday, December 28, 2025.
Which key players are missing for this match?
Milan will be without Rafael Leao, Matteo Gabbia, and Santiago Gimenez. Verona is missing Tomas Suslov and Rafik Belghali.
Author
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Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
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