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Napoli vs Bologna Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026

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Alexandru Florin 10.05.2026 12:05Last updated: 01/06/2026 22:03
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Napoli vs Bologna Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026

Napoli vs Bologna Prediction and Betting Tips, scheduled for Monday, May 11, 2026, at 19:45 GMT, comes from the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples. Marco Piccinini will referee it. For more context, explore Serie A Predictions from XpertStats.

Napoli sit second and still look sturdy under Antonio Conte, while Bologna arrive tenth but dangerous away from home. Both teams have recent attacking doubts, sure, yet the season numbers hint at a livelier game than the last few results suggest. Funny old matchup, this one.

Napoli vs Bologna Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.85 Confidence: Medium-High

The pick leans toward Over 2.5 Goals because the combined goal profile sits at 2.71 per match, which is already above the betting line. Napoli’s home fixtures have crossed this mark in 65% of cases, while Bologna’s away matches are not far behind at 53%. That gives this angle enough statistical fuel, even if recent form has looked a little cautious. The team context also matters. Napoli need points near the top, Bologna have one of the better away scoring profiles, and both projected systems can create wide spaces. Conte’s 3-4-3 should push wing-backs high, while Italiano’s 4-3-3 is rarely built just to sit. Is it risk-free? No. But the numbers nudge us toward goals.

Napoli vs Bologna Correct Score

Napoli
2-1
Bologna

A 2-1 Napoli win fits the attacking balance better than a narrow shutout. Napoli average 1.76 goals scored at home, while Bologna concede 1.24 away, so the home side should create enough to score more than once. Bologna still carry threat, though, with 1.53 goals scored per away match, which makes a consolation goal very realistic. The shot profile adds another layer. Napoli produce 13.82 shots and 5.18 shots on target at home, while Bologna register 11.18 shots and 3.76 on target away. With McTominay, Højlund, Castro and Bernardeschi all listed in the probable lineups, there is enough finishing volume on both sides for a competitive, open 2-1 rhythm.

Napoli vs Bologna Stats

  • Napoli are second overall, chasing pressure points with 70 from 35 Serie A matches.
  • Bologna sit tenth, but their away scoring rank is among the league’s strongest profiles.
  • Napoli have taken 8 points from the last 5 matches across all venues.
  • Bologna have collected 7 points from their last 5, despite recent attacking frustration.
  • Napoli have kept 3 clean sheets recently, showing Conte’s defensive habits still bite.
  • Bologna have failed to score in 3 straight matches, a worry before Naples.
Napoli vs Bologna Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026-Stats
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Napoli vs Bologna Match Preview

Napoli bring the weight of a top-table chase into this one, and their home form gives them a pretty strong platform. Conte’s side usually plays with control, patience and sudden width, but the big question is whether they can turn territory into clean chances quickly enough.

Bologna are trickier than the table first suggests. They haven’t been flowing lately, and that scoreless run is an obvious concern, but Italiano’s teams rarely lack courage. Away from home, they can still stretch matches, especially when their wide forwards find early running lanes.

This could become a game of pressure waves rather than constant chaos. Napoli should push the corners and tempo, Bologna may answer through transitions, and Marco Piccinini’s whistle could matter if midfield duels get scrappy. Still, the rhythm points toward chances at both ends.

Napoli vs Bologna TEAM STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
Napoli Logo
Bologna Logo
Napoli League Position
2nd

+ Napoli`s Strengths

  • Excellent home record, ranked 2nd with 2.35 points per match.
  • Strong home attack, scoring 1.76 goals per match.
  • Reliable home defence, conceding only 0.88 goals per match.
  • Major corner pressure at home, winning 6.41 corners per match.

- Napoli's Weaknesses

  • Recent scoring rhythm has dipped, failing to score in 2 of the last 5.
  • BTTS has landed in only 1 of their last 5 matches.
  • Shot volume is solid, but below the elite attacking threshold at home.
Bologna League Position
10th

+ Bologna's Strengths

  • Strong away attack, ranked 2nd with 1.53 goals per match.
  • Competitive road record, sitting 6th in the away standings.
  • They draw many fouls away, winning 14.82 per match.
  • Their away matches show healthy goal potential, with 76% over 1.5 goals.

- Bologna's Weaknesses

  • Away defence allows 1.24 goals per match, leaving room for Napoli pressure.
  • They concede 4.71 corners per away match, a concern against wide pressure.
  • Recent attack has stalled badly, with no goals in the last 3 matches.

Napoli vs Bologna Team News

Antonio Conte is expected to keep Napoli in a 3-4-3, with Rasmus Højlund leading the line and Kevin De Bruyne working close to him. Højlund is their top league scorer, while Scott McTominay brings serious shooting presence from midfield. Mathías Olivera is out, and Romelu Lukaku remains doubtful.

Vincenzo Italiano should answer with Bologna’s usual 4-3-3 structure. Santiago Castro is expected to start centrally, with Federico Bernardeschi and Jon Rowe providing width and shooting threat. Nicolò Cambiaghi is missing, which removes an important attacking option, especially because he is listed among Bologna’s leading scorers this season.

The selection picture probably pushes both coaches toward familiar patterns rather than wild experiments. Napoli need sharp service into Højlund, Bologna need runners around Castro, and the midfield battle could decide whether this becomes open early. For readers tracking Serie A Predictions, team news slightly supports a goals angle.

Antonio Conte’s future at Napoli remains uncertain as the club weighs strong reasons to continue together and equally serious doubts about a split. Champions League qualification could trigger decisive talks with president Aurelio De Laurentiis, while the transfer market, long-term project, and growing tension in their relationship will shape the outcome. Conte is still seen as a guarantee of ambition, but trust and planning are now central.

Source: gazzetta.it

Napoli vs Bologna Lineups

Here are the predicted lineups for Napoli vs Bologna, including formations, managers, injured players and doubtful players.
Napoli (3-4-3)
Antonio Conte
GK V. Milinković-Savić
DF S. Beukema, A. Rrahmani, A. Buongiorno
MF M. Politano, S. McTominay, S. Lobotka, M. Gutiérrez
FW K. De Bruyne, R. Højlund, A. Santos
OUT
R. Lukaku(QUES),
M. Olivera(OUT)
Bologna (4-3-3)
Vincenzo Italiano
GK F. Ravaglia
DF N. Zortea, E. Helland, J. Lucumí, J. Miranda
MF S. Sohm, R. Freuler, N. Moro
FW F. Bernardeschi, S. Castro, J. Rowe
OUT
M. Vitík(OUT),
N. Cambiaghi(OUT),
N. Casale(OUT)
Referee
Marco Piccinini
Napoli vs Bologna Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026
Napoli vs Bologna Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026
Napoli vs Bologna Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026

Watch Napoli vs Bologna Last Match Highlights

More Predictions:

To make more informed football decisions, visit XpertStats for advanced Soccer Statistics covering every key angle of match analysis. Explore daily fixtures, home and away trends, xG projections, bookmaker odds comparisons, shots, corners, cards, referee profiles, H2H history, and league-wide rankings. XpertStats brings the full statistical picture together in one professional platform.

Napoli vs Bologna FAQ

Who will win between Napoli and Bologna?

Napoli look stronger at home and sit much higher in the table, but Bologna’s away attack makes this less straightforward than it seems.

What is the best prediction for Napoli vs Bologna?

The main prediction is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.85, based on both teams’ scoring profiles and the likely attacking match rhythm.

What correct score is predicted for Napoli vs Bologna?

The correct score prediction is Napoli 2-1 Bologna, with the home side expected to edge a competitive game.

What time does Napoli vs Bologna start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 GMT on Monday, May 11, 2026.

Where is Napoli vs Bologna played?

The match is played at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples.

Who is the referee for Napoli vs Bologna?

Marco Piccinini is listed as the referee for this Serie A fixture.

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