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Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 03.05.2026

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Last updated: 28/05/2026 09:26
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Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 03.05.2026

Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction and Betting Tips for the Premier League, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026, at 15:30 GMT. The match takes place at Old Trafford in Manchester, with Darren England appointed referee. For sharper context, our Premier League Stats guide adds useful betting angles.

United sit 3rd with 61 points, while Liverpool are 4th on 58, so yes, this has bite. Both arrive with 10 points from their last 5 games, both scored 9 times, and both saw BTTS land in 4 of those matches.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction

1X & Over 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.60 Confidence: Medium

Manchester United’s home profile is hard to ignore. They average 1.94 goals scored at Old Trafford, rank 3rd in the home table with 2.12 points per match, and have scored in their last 11 home games. That gives the 1X side real weight, especially with Liverpool missing Mohamed Salah and Hugo Ekitike from their attacking group.

The goals angle also has solid support. United home matches average 3.12 total goals, Liverpool away matches average 3.00, and both teams have seen BTTS land in 4 of their last 5. Liverpool have scored in 13 straight matches overall, but their away defence concedes 1.53 goals per game. This feels lively, maybe tense, but not flat.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Correct Score

Manchester United
2-1
Liverpool

Manchester United average 1.94 goals scored at home, while Liverpool concede 1.53 goals per away match, so a United goal or two looks realistic rather than hopeful. The hosts also generate 17.24 shots and 6.82 shots on target per home game, which is strong pressure. With Benjamin Šeško producing 0.56 goals per 90, the home attack has enough bite. Liverpool still carry danger, even with Salah and Ekitike out. Their away scoring average is 1.47, they have scored in 6 straight away games, and Alexander Isak is expected to start. Still, Liverpool’s away shot volume is lower at 13.71, with only 3.94 shots on target. That nudges the score toward a narrow United win, not a runaway.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Stats

  • Manchester United are 3rd overall and also rank 3rd in the home standings.
  • Liverpool sit 4th, only 3 points behind United before this tense Old Trafford meeting.
  • United average 1.94 home goals, the 3rd best home scoring rate in the league.
  • Liverpool average 1.47 away goals, but concede 1.53 per match on the road.
  • Both teams collected 10 points from their last 5 matches across all venues.
  • BTTS landed in 4 of the last 5 matches for both United and Liverpool.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Match Preview

Manchester United come into this with proper momentum under Michael Carrick. They have lost just 1 of their last 5, scoring 9 times, and the home numbers give them a useful cushion. Old Trafford has been kind lately, and United need one more big push toward Champions League security.

Liverpool, though, are not arriving as passengers. Arne Slot’s side have also taken 10 points from their last 5 games and have scored in 13 straight matches. Still, without Mohamed Salah and Hugo Ekitike, the away threat feels a little less sharp. That’s not nothing.

The rhythm should be open but not wild. United average 17.24 shots at home and Liverpool win 6 corners per away game, so territory could swing both ways. With 3.06 average total goals between these profiles, who really expects a quiet afternoon here?

Manchester United vs Liverpool TEAM STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
Manchester United Logo
Liverpool Logo
Manchester United League Position
3rd

+ Manchester United's Strengths

  • 3rd in the overall standings with 61 points and 1.79 points per match.
  • 3rd best home team, averaging 2.12 points per game at Old Trafford.
  • 3rd best home attack, scoring 1.94 goals per home match.
  • Strong attacking volume with 17.24 shots and 6.82 shots on target at home.

- Manchester United's Weaknesses

  • Home defence still concedes 1.18 goals per match, leaving space for Liverpool.
  • Only 5.29 corners won at home, outside the league’s strongest corner producers.
  • BTTS has landed in 65% of home matches, showing clean sheets are not routine.
Liverpool League Position
4th

+ Liverpool's Strengths

  • 4th in the overall standings with 58 points and 1.71 points per match.
  • Best away corner output in the league, winning 6.00 corners per away match.
  • Away matches are lively, with 71% going over 2.5 goals.
  • They concede only 4.06 away corners, the 2nd best figure in the league.

- Liverpool's Weaknesses

  • Away defence concedes 1.53 goals per match, only mid-table in that metric.
  • Away points per match stands at 1.41, below United’s home level.
  • Only 3.94 shots on target away, a modest return for such a big attacking side.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Team News

Manchester United are expected to use a 4-2-3-1 under Michael Carrick. S. Lammens should start in goal, with Dalot, Heaven, Maguire and possibly Shaw in defence. Lisandro Martínez is suspended, while Matthijs de Ligt is out with a back problem.

Cunha is doubtful with a groin issue, though he has trained, so United will hope he can contribute. He has 78 shots and 32 shots on target this season. Šeško, likely to lead the line, has 10 goals and averages 1.86 shots on target per 90.

Liverpool should also line up in a 4-2-3-1 for Arne Slot. Salah, Ekitike, Endo and Mamardashvili are out, while Alisson is doubtful. That removes serious experience and finishing power. Gakpo has 78 shots, while Szoboszlai has 10 cards, so both can shape betting markets.

Michael Carrick said Manchester United are in “good shape” ahead of Sunday’s Premier League clash with Liverpool, with only Matthijs de Ligt ruled out and Matheus Cunha pushing to return. Carrick also praised Kobbie Mainoo after his new long-term contract, calling the midfielder a symbol of the club’s academy identity and insisting United must keep aiming to compete for major trophies.

Arne Slot confirmed Mohamed Salah will miss Liverpool’s trip to Manchester United, while Alisson Becker remains a doubt after not yet returning to full training. The Liverpool head coach stressed his side can still improve despite recent wins, praised United’s progress under Michael Carrick, and underlined the importance of Sunday’s clash in the race for a top-four finish and Champions League qualification.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Lineups

Here are the predicted lineups for Manchester United vs Liverpool, including formations, managers, injured players and doubtful players.
Man Utd (4-2-3-1)
Michael Carrick
GK S. Lammens
DF D. Dalot, A. Heaven, H. Maguire, L. Shaw
MF Casemiro, K. Mainoo
B. Mbeumo, B. Fernandes, M. Cunha
FW B. Šeško
OUT
L. Shaw(QUES),
M. Cunha(QUES),
L. Martinez(OUT),
M. de Ligt(OUT),
Liverpool (4-2-3-1)
Arne Slot
GK Alisson
DF J. Frimpong, I. Konaté, V. van Dijk, A. Robertson
MF R. Gravenberch, A. Mac Allister
D. Szoboszlai, F. Wirtz, C. Gakpo
FW A. Isak
OUT
Alisson(QUES),
G. Mamardashvili(OUT),
H. Ekitiké(OUT),
M. Salah(OUT),
S. Bajčetić(OUT),
W. Endo(OUT),
Referee
Darren ENGLAND

Good football analysis starts with the right numbers, and XpertStats provides them through a detailed catalog of predictive and performance-based metrics. With Shots on Target Soccer insights, you can assess attacking intent, compare team efficiency, and connect shooting accuracy with wider trends such as xG, recent form, goals, corners, and cards.

Manchester United vs Liverpool FAQ

Who will win between Manchester United and Liverpool?

Manchester United look slightly better placed because of their strong home record, but Liverpool have enough attacking quality to make it uncomfortable.

What is the best prediction for Manchester United vs Liverpool?

The best prediction is 1X & Over 1.5 Goals, supported by United’s home form and both teams’ recent scoring trends.

What is the correct score prediction?

The correct score prediction is Manchester United 2-1 Liverpool, based on United’s stronger home attack and Liverpool’s away scoring run.

Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Liverpool?

Both teams scoring is possible, with BTTS landing in 4 of the last 5 matches for both sides.

What time does Manchester United vs Liverpool start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 15:30 GMT on Sunday, May 3, 2026.

Where is Manchester United vs Liverpool played?

The match will be played at Old Trafford in Manchester.

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