QPR vs Derby Prediction and Betting Tips for the Championship, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026, at 15:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports and ESPN USA from Loftus Road in London, with John Busby appointed referee. For more, see Championship Stats.
QPR sit 13th with 58 points, while Derby arrive 8th on 66 points, still looking upward. The numbers whisper goals, don’t they? QPR home games average 3.27 total goals, while Derby away matches produce 2.86, and both sides show a real BTTS pattern.
QPR vs Derby Key Facts and Stats
QPR have scored 1.73 goals per home match, fourth best in the Championship.
Derby average 1.50 away goals, ranking seventh for goals scored on the road.
QPR home matches have seen BTTS land in 73% of their league games.
Derby away fixtures have produced BTTS in 64%, matching their season-long trend.
QPR concede 1.55 goals at home, one of the weaker home defensive records.
Derby have scored in seven straight games, a useful signal before this trip.
Strong home attack with 1.73 goals scored per match, fourth in the league.
BTTS has landed in 73% of QPR home matches, showing open game rhythm.
Home matches average 3.27 total goals, a strong signal for attacking football.
Third best home record for corners conceded, allowing only 3.73 per match.
- QPR's Weaknesses
QPR concede 1.55 goals per home match, third weakest home defensive average.
They have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.
Only 5 points from the last 5 games leaves confidence looking fragile.
League Position
8th
+ Derby's Strengths
Derby score 1.50 goals per away match, seventh best away attack.
They have scored in 7 consecutive matches before travelling to Loftus Road.
Carlton Morris leads Derby with 12 goals and 0.55 goals per 90.
BTTS has landed in 64% of Derby away matches this season.
- Derby's Weaknesses
Derby win only 3.45 corners away, second lowest away corner average.
They concede 6.23 corners away, suggesting pressure often builds around their box.
Patrick Agyemang is out for the season, removing a 10-goal attacking option.
Match Preview
QPR arrive with that slightly confusing look of a side capable of hurting anyone, then suddenly going quiet. Julien Stéphan’s expected 4-4-2 should give Rumarn Burrell and Rayan Kolli chances, and Burrell’s 10 goals, at 0.46 per 90, matter here.
Still, the concern is obvious. QPR have taken only 5 points from their last 5 games, scoring 4 times and blanking twice. Can they really trust the back line when their home defensive average is 1.55 goals conceded? That feels risky.
The good bit for QPR is their home attacking profile. They average 1.73 goals at Loftus Road, fourth best in the division, and 77% of their home matches go over 2.5 goals. It isn’t always controlled, but it’s rarely dull.
Derby, meanwhile, come to London with a cleaner attacking pulse. John Eustace’s side are projected in a 4-2-3-1, with Carlton Morris leading the line. Morris has 12 goals and 0.55 per 90, while Ben Brereton Diaz and Sammie Szmodics add bite.
That said, Derby are not travelling without problems. Patrick Agyemang is out for the season after scoring 10 goals, which stings. Dion Sanderson and Bobby Clark are doubtful too, so the squad picture isn’t perfect, even if recent scoring form looks healthy.
Derby have scored 7 in their last 5 and found the net in 7 straight games, which is hard to ignore. With QPR open at home and Derby sharp enough away, Championship Stats point toward chances at both ends rather than a cagey afternoon.
QPR vs Derby Predicted Lineups
Queens Park Rangers (4-4-2)
Julien Stéphan
GK
Walsh
DF
Adamson, Edwards, Cook, Norrington-Davies
MF
Vale, Hayden, Morgan, Poku
FW
Kolli, Burrell
OUT
K. Dembélé(OUT),
Z. Larkeche(OUT)
Derby County (4-2-3-1)
John Eustace
GK
Zetterström
DF
Ward, Langås, Clarke, Murkin
MF
Travis, Ozoh Brereton Diaz, Szmodics, Banel
FW
Morris
OUT
D. Sanderson(QUES),
B. Clark(QUES),
P. Agyemang(OUT),
O. Beck(OUT)
Referee
John BUSBY
Prediction
Prediction: Both Teams to Score @1.63
Both Teams to Score makes sense because QPR home matches have been lively, sometimes too lively for their own good. They score 1.73 goals per home game, but also concede 1.55, which leaves space for drama. BTTS has landed in 73% of their home fixtures, and with Burrell in the likely XI, QPR still carry a reliable central threat.
Derby add weight to the same angle. They average 1.50 goals away, have scored in 7 straight matches, and Morris brings 12 goals at 0.55 per 90. Yes, Agyemang’s absence hurts, but the visitors still scored 7 across their last 5. Against a QPR defence ranked poorly at home, one Derby goal feels very realistic.
For a deeper look at attacking performance, XpertStats makes it easy to compare teams across the metrics that drive match outcomes. Discover Shots on Target Stats, shooting efficiency, xG, over-goal probabilities, BTTS trends, corner data, foul patterns, referee tendencies, and form-based insights, all organized to support faster and smarter football research.
FAQ – QPR vs Derby Prediction
Who will win between QPR and Derby?
Derby are higher in the table, but QPR’s home scoring record makes this a difficult match to call. A score draw feels very possible.
Where can I watch the QPR vs Derby live?
The QPR vs Derby Championship match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports and ESPN USA.
What time does QPR vs Derby start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 15:00 GMT on Saturday, April 25, 2026.
What is the best betting tip for QPR vs Derby?
The strongest betting tip is Both Teams to Score, based on both clubs’ BTTS trends and attacking numbers.
Who is the referee for QPR vs Derby?
John Busby has been appointed as the referee for QPR vs Derby at Loftus Road.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
