Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction and Betting Tips for the massive clash on Sunday, March 01, 2026, at 16:30 GMT. This game takes place at the Emirates Stadium with broadcast details on Peacock and NBC. Referee Darren England will be the man in the middle for this Premier League Predictions showcase.
The Gunners currently sit at the top of the table after a brilliant run of form. Chelsea is not far behind in fifth place, showing great improvement under Liam Rosenior. Both sides have collected 11 points from their last five matches, so expect a very tight and competitive game.
Arsenal vs Chelsea Key Facts and Stats
Arsenal remains unbeaten in their last five league games, showing incredible consistency under Mikel Arteta.
Top scorer Viktor Gyökeres continues his fine form, currently averaging 0.52 goals per 90 minutes.
Chelsea enters this London derby on a six game unbeaten run across all major competitions.
The Blues have seen both teams score in 67% of their matches this season.
Mikel Arteta's side boasts the strongest home defense, conceding only 0.62 goals per game recently.
Missing key men like Mykhaylo Mudryk and Wesley Fofana could seriously hinder Chelsea's tactical plans.
Strongest home defense in the league with 0.62 goals conceded.
High attacking output at home averaging 2.38 goals per match.
Elite shot volume with 16.23 attempts created per game.
Strong home standing currently ranked 2nd in the league.
- Arsenal's Weaknesses
Low card accumulation reflects a possible lack of defensive grit.
Average fouls won per match is lower than top rivals.
Moderate corner conversion compared to high shot volume.
League Position
5
+ Chelsea's Strengths
Best away attack in the league with 1.92 goals scored.
High offensive efficiency with 5.0 shots on target per game.
Top 3 away standings ranking 3rd for road performance.
Excellent at winning fouls in advanced positions with 11.85 avg.
- Chelsea's Weaknesses
High cards received away with an average of 3.0 per match.
Aggressive defensive style leading to 11.46 fouls committed.
Match Preview
Arsenal is looking unstoppable at the moment under Mikel Arteta. They have gone five games without a loss and their home record is simply frightening for any opponent. The Gunners have netted 14 goals in their last five outings, proving they are a clinical side.
Viktor Gyökeres has been a revelation for the hosts, bagging 10 goals so far. He will be supported by Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard in a potent attack. Still, the team will have to cope without Mikel Merino, who is officially ruled out today.
Arteta has a few doubts with Kai Havertz and Ben White, which could force some tactical shifts. If they are fit, Arsenal will likely dominate possession and try to pin Chelsea back. Their home defense has only conceded 0.62 goals per game this season.
Chelsea arrives at the Emirates with a point to prove. Liam Rosenior has made them very dangerous on the road, where they average 1.92 goals. They are currently on a six game unbeaten run and look very confident in their transitions.
João Pedro is the man to watch for the Blues, having scored 11 times already. He is supported by the creative Cole Palmer, who averages 0.67 goals per 90 minutes. Even so, the suspension of Mykhaylo Mudryk and Wesley Fofana is a blow.
The Blues have a high card count away from home, which suggests they might struggle with discipline in a heated derby. It will be interesting to see if they can maintain their composure against such a high quality Premier League Predictions favorite.
Ahead of the London derby against Chelsea, Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta remains optimistic despite fitness concerns regarding Kai Havertz and Ben White. Highlighting the squad's "confidence and enthusiasm," Arteta praised the development of Piero Hincapie and striker Viktor Gyokeres. As the Gunners pursue success across four competitions, including a Champions League clash with Bayer Leverkusen, the coach emphasized maintaining stability and focus during the season's defining months.
M. Zubimendi, D. Rice B. Saka, E. Eze, L. Trossard
FW
V. Gyökeres
OUT
M. Dowman(QUES),
K. Havertz(QUES),
M. Merino(OUT),
B. White(QUES),
Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Liam Rosenior
GK
R. Sánchez
DF
R. James, T. Chalobah, B. Badiashile, J. Hato
MF
M. Caicedo, E. Fernández C. Palmer, A. Santos, P. Neto
FW
J. Pedro
OUT
M. Mudryk(SUSP),
D. Essugo(QUES),
F. Jørgensen(QUES),
M. Cucurella(OUT),
L. Colwill(OUT),
J. Gittens(OUT),
W. Fofana(SUSP),
Estêvão(OUT),
Referee
Darren ENGLAND
Prediction
Over 22.5 Shots @1.62
Arsenal is a statistical powerhouse when playing at the Emirates Stadium this season. They average 16.23 shots per match, which highlights their aggressive approach in the final third. Mikel Arteta encourages his players to test the goalkeeper frequently, especially in high profile London derbies. With Viktor Gyökeres leading the line, the Gunners possess a forward who is constantly seeking opportunities to shoot from any distance.
Chelsea also contributes significantly to high shot counts during their away fixtures. They currently average 12.69 shots per 90 minutes on the road. Despite their defensive issues, Liam Rosenior has implemented a system that prioritizes quick transitions and offensive flair. Given that the combined average for these two teams sits at 28.92 shots per game, surpassing the 22.5 line seems very likely for bettors today.
Identify the perfect opportunities with our Both Teams to Score Tips, which leverage 15-minute goal interval data and half-time frequency stats. XpertStats provides a deep-dive into team behavior, allowing you to see exactly when goals are most likely to occur. Visit our complete feature catalog to explore everything from shooting accuracy to foul discipline, ensuring you have the full statistical picture for every match.
FAQ – Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Arsenal and Chelsea?
Arsenal is the favorite due to their top position in the league and their strong home record of 10 wins from 13 matches.
Where can I watch Arsenal vs Chelsea live?
The Arsenal vs Chelsea Premier League match will have broadcast details available on Peacock and NBC for viewers in the USA.
What time does the Arsenal vs Chelsea match start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 16:30 (GMT) on Sunday, March 01, 2026.
Which key players are missing for this match?
Arsenal is missing Mikel Merino, while Chelsea will be without the suspended duo of Mykhaylo Mudryk and Wesley Fofana.
Who is the referee for the London derby?
The match will be officiated by Darren England at the Emirates Stadium.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
