Serie A Predictions Football Predictions

Lazio vs Cremonese Prediction Serie A 20.12.2025

Alexandru Florin 19 December 2025

Lazio vs Cremonese Prediction Serie A

Lazio vs Cremonese Prediction and Betting Tips for the Serie A, scheduled for Saturday, December 20, 2025, at 17:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on DAZN and Paramount+ (USA) from the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Lazio sit narrowly ahead in the table, and there is a quiet confidence around the capital after last week’s extraordinary win. In this article, you will discover Serie A Predictions powered by the XpertStats data team.

Lazio return home after a dramatic away win despite finishing with nine men
Cremonese arrive in Rome with solid away numbers for a promoted side
Both teams show strong trends toward matches with at least two goals
Suspensions and squad depth could play a decisive role late on

It is hard not to admire Lazio’s resilience right now. Winning away at Parma with nine men felt like a statement, not just a result. At home, the numbers back up that feeling. Lazio average 1.86 goals scored per home match while conceding just 0.71, a tidy balance that speaks to Sarri’s structure. Their home games produce 2.57 total goals on average, and 71 percent of them clear the 1.5 goal line. Clean sheets have become part of their identity, with Ivan Provedel setting the tone from the back.

1X
The 1X option leans heavily on Lazio’s consistency at home rather than raw attacking firepower. Their matches at the Olimpico average 2.57 total goals, but more importantly, they are built to manage game states. Conceding under one goal per home match is not an accident. Cremonese travel well for a promoted side, yet their away games still show defensive cracks, allowing 1.13 goals on average. Lazio also dominate corners at home, winning 5.43 per match, which often translates into territorial control even when chances are limited. Yes, Lazio are missing key names, and that could blunt their attack. Still, avoiding defeat is a lower bar than chasing a clear win. Cremonese tend to stay competitive but rarely dominate possession in tough venues. Over ninety minutes, Lazio should find a way to protect at least a point, making 1X a pragmatic call.

Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5 goals looks justified when you combine both teams’ scoring environments. Lazio’s home matches see over 1.5 goals in 71 percent of cases, while Cremonese’s away games clear that line 63 percent of the time. The combined average total goals sits at 2.41, comfortably above the threshold. Lazio score nearly two goals per home match, and even with absentees, they create pressure through corners and sustained possession. Cremonese do not travel to sit deep for ninety minutes. They score 1.13 goals away and tend to leave space behind, especially late on. This does not need to become a shootout. One early goal forces the other side to respond, and both teams have shown vulnerability after halftime. With discipline issues also present, free kicks and set pieces add to the goal potential. Two goals across ninety minutes feels more likely than not.