Lazio vs Lecce Prediction and Betting Tips for the Italian Serie A, scheduled for Sunday, November 23, 2025, at 17:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on DAZN and Sky Go Italia from the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Lazio seek redemption after a 2-0 defeat at San Siro, while Lecce aim to repeat last season’s surprise win in the capital. In this article, you’ll find expert insights and Serie A Predictions from XpertStats analysts.

• Lazio look to recover from their loss to Inter as they host Lecce on Sunday at the Stadio Olimpico.
• Lecce’s last win in Rome denied Lazio a European spot, will lightning strike twice?
• Both sides average under three goals per match but rack up plenty of fouls.
• Nicolo Rovella and Valentin Castellanos remain sidelined for the hosts.

After a tough night against Inter, Lazio return home with something to prove. They were unbeaten in six before that slip, showing signs of defensive solidity with four straight clean sheets. Maurizio Sarri’s side sit ninth on 15 points, not disastrous, but far from their European ambitions. Can they flip the script this time? The numbers suggest they might, averaging 2 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per game. At home, they’ve looked sharper, though their fan protest could mute the usual Olimpico energy.

Still, the Biancocelesti’s squad issues remain a headache. Nicolo Rovella is out for another month following surgery, and Valentin Castellanos continues his recovery. Boulaye Dia steps in up front, but he’s yet to rediscover his finishing touch. Zaccagni, meanwhile, carries the creative load, with his pace and flair vital to breaking down Lecce’s low block. Sarri knows the stakes. Lose this, and the tension could spill from the stands onto the pitch.

Lecce, for their part, come into this match breathing easier after a gritty draw with Hellas Verona. Eusebio Di Francesco’s men sit just above the relegation zone with 10 points, but their away form has been surprisingly resilient. They average one goal scored and 1.4 conceded, suggesting they can hang in there, even against stronger sides. Their defensive setup frustrates opponents, and with Lazio averaging over 30 fouls per match, this could turn into a scrappy battle rather than a showpiece.

That said, Lecce’s attacking options are limited. With Nikola Stulic leading the line and youngster Francesco Camarda nursing a minor knock, finding goals remains their biggest hurdle. Their fouls per match sit around 27.8, highlighting a side that doesn’t shy from physical duels. Expect a stop-start rhythm, tactical fouls, and some frustration on both ends. This matchup looks ripe for a tight, combative affair, one that fits neatly into our Serie A Predictions outlook for the weekend.